On February 27, the Pentagon issued a directive to remove transgender service members from the military unless they receive an exemption (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/27/transgender-us-military-personnel-pentagon-memo-stood-down-trump-administration)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 10 transgender service members are officially discharged or removed from the U.S. military due to this policy by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the policy is permanently canceled by the Trump administration before the removals occur, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information form the Pentagon and Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.