Keir Starmer's Cabinet has remained intact since Labour's 2024 election victory, with no full Cabinet minister resigning despite a turbulent February marked by high-profile departures. Cabinet Office Parliamentary Secretary Josh Simons quit on February 28 amid a scandal over his former think tank Labour Together's alleged "dirty dossier" on journalists, following Cabinet Secretary Chris Wormald's forced exit on February 12 and chief of staff Morgan McSweeney's resignation over fallout from ex-minister Peter Mandelson's Epstein links. These events underscore government instability amid policy backlash on welfare cuts and economic pressures. Traders watch upcoming May local elections and spring budget for potential triggers that could prompt a Cabinet-level resignation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$107,274 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
30 июня
72%
$107,274 Объем
30 июня
$527 Объем
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Cabinet has remained intact since Labour's 2024 election victory, with no full Cabinet minister resigning despite a turbulent February marked by high-profile departures. Cabinet Office Parliamentary Secretary Josh Simons quit on February 28 amid a scandal over his former think tank Labour Together's alleged "dirty dossier" on journalists, following Cabinet Secretary Chris Wormald's forced exit on February 12 and chief of staff Morgan McSweeney's resignation over fallout from ex-minister Peter Mandelson's Epstein links. These events underscore government instability amid policy backlash on welfare cuts and economic pressures. Traders watch upcoming May local elections and spring budget for potential triggers that could prompt a Cabinet-level resignation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Объем
$107,274Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by February 28, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Keir Starmer's Cabinet has remained intact since Labour's 2024 election victory, with no full Cabinet minister resigning despite a turbulent February marked by high-profile departures. Cabinet Office Parliamentary Secretary Josh Simons quit on February 28 amid a scandal over his former think tank Labour Together's alleged "dirty dossier" on journalists, following Cabinet Secretary Chris Wormald's forced exit on February 12 and chief of staff Morgan McSweeney's resignation over fallout from ex-minister Peter Mandelson's Epstein links. These events underscore government instability amid policy backlash on welfare cuts and economic pressures. Traders watch upcoming May local elections and spring budget for potential triggers that could prompt a Cabinet-level resignation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sitting Cabinet Minister of the United Kingdom as of February 4, 2026 ET, resigns from their position in the cabinet by June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Only an actual resignation will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. If the Prime Minister accepts a letter of resignation from a cabinet minister, or a cabinet minister otherwise formally resigns, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately, even if the cabinet minister in question agrees to stay for a period of time for any reason (e.g., until a replacement is ready, etc.). If a minister submits a letter of resignation and it is refused, or they otherwise withdraw that letter, it will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If a minister submits a letter of resignation and is subsequently fired from their position, it will still qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$107,274Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer's Cabinet has remained intact since Labour's 2024 election victory, with no full Cabinet minister resigning despite a turbulent February marked by high-profile departures. Cabinet Office Parliamentary Secretary Josh Simons quit on February 28 amid a scandal over his former think tank Labour Together's alleged "dirty dossier" on journalists, following Cabinet Secretary Chris Wormald's forced exit on February 12 and chief of staff Morgan McSweeney's resignation over fallout from ex-minister Peter Mandelson's Epstein links. These events underscore government instability amid policy backlash on welfare cuts and economic pressures. Traders watch upcoming May local elections and spring budget for potential triggers that could prompt a Cabinet-level resignation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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