Market icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15

Market icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15

Up

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,860 Объем

Up

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,860 Объем

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price. If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price.

If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.

If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".
Объем
$13,860
Дата окончания
15 окт. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 14, 2025, 11:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price. If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".

Предложенный исход: Down

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price. If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price.

If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.

If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".
Объем
$13,860
Дата окончания
15 окт. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 14, 2025, 11:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 (ticker: SPX) closing price on Wednesday, October 15, 2025 is higher than the official opening price for SPX on the same day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official closing price for SPX on that date is lower than the official opening price. If the official SPX opening price and closing price are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If there is no official opening price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt before market open, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. If there is no official closing price for SPX on the specified date (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is S&P 500 Index, specifically the Open and Close values published at https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks under "Historical Prices".

Предложенный исход: Down

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Down

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена S&P 500 выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 100% для «Down». Цена 100% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены S&P 500. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.9K. Рынки S&P 500 Up или Down привлекают активных трейдеров, реагирующих на движение цен в реальном времени — такой уровень активности гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты Up/Down формируются широким кругом участников. Ты можешь следить за ценами в реальном времени и торговать прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена S&P 500 в полдень ET October 15 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET October 15. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Это окно дневной закрылось и разрешено. Окончательный исход — «Down». Используй навигацию по времени вверху этой страницы, чтобы просмотреть соседние окна или найти текущий активный рынок.

Рынок «S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15» разрешается на основе сравнения цены S&P 500 в полдень ET October 15 с ценой в полдень ET October 15, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance SPX/USDT. Если цена в полдень October 15 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».