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Финансы·SPX

Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале

Market icon
Финансы·SPX

Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале

$327,972 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$327,972 Объем

Polymarket

Рост на 5%

$23,038 Объем

1%

Рост на 4%

$13,121 Объем

2%

Рост на 3%

$5,552 Объем

4%

Рост на 2%

$14,472 Объем

19%

Потеря 3%

$28,020 Объем

4%

Потеря 4%

$28,033 Объем

2%

Потеря 5%

$176,701 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) decreases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage loss of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage loss of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).As Q1 2026 nears its close on March 31, the S&P 500 has exhibited elevated volatility, with the VIX volatility index hovering around 25-30 amid a roughly 7% quarterly decline to 6,368.85. Key extremes include a +1.97% rebound on February 6 following early-year tariff threats and a -2.07% drop on January 20, while recent catalysts driving trader caution feature back-to-back losses exceeding 1.6% on March 26-27, fueled by tech sector selloffs and positioning ahead of earnings season. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on potential further swings from quarter-end rebalancing flows and early Q1 corporate earnings releases starting next week, against a backdrop of post-March FOMC rate path expectations.

As Q1 2026 nears its close on March 31, the S&P 500 has exhibited elevated volatility, with the VIX volatility index hovering around 25-30 amid a roughly 7% quarterly decline to 6,368.85. Key extremes include a +1.97% rebound on February 6 following early-year tariff threats and a -2.07% drop on January 20, while recent catalysts driving trader caution feature back-to-back losses exceeding 1.6% on March 26-27, fueled by tech sector selloffs and positioning ahead of earnings season. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on potential further swings from quarter-end rebalancing flows and early Q1 corporate earnings releases starting next week, against a backdrop of post-March FOMC rate path expectations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) decreases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms. Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage loss of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage loss of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%) If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).As Q1 2026 nears its close on March 31, the S&P 500 has exhibited elevated volatility, with the VIX volatility index hovering around 25-30 amid a roughly 7% quarterly decline to 6,368.85. Key extremes include a +1.97% rebound on February 6 following early-year tariff threats and a -2.07% drop on January 20, while recent catalysts driving trader caution feature back-to-back losses exceeding 1.6% on March 26-27, fueled by tech sector selloffs and positioning ahead of earnings season. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on potential further swings from quarter-end rebalancing flows and early Q1 corporate earnings releases starting next week, against a backdrop of post-March FOMC rate path expectations.

As Q1 2026 nears its close on March 31, the S&P 500 has exhibited elevated volatility, with the VIX volatility index hovering around 25-30 amid a roughly 7% quarterly decline to 6,368.85. Key extremes include a +1.97% rebound on February 6 following early-year tariff threats and a -2.07% drop on January 20, while recent catalysts driving trader caution feature back-to-back losses exceeding 1.6% on March 26-27, fueled by tech sector selloffs and positioning ahead of earnings season. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on potential further swings from quarter-end rebalancing flows and early Q1 corporate earnings releases starting next week, against a backdrop of post-March FOMC rate path expectations.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Рост на 1%» с 100%, за ним следует «Потеря 1%» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $328K с момента запуска рынка Jan 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» — «Рост на 1%» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Потеря 1%» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Прибыли и убытки S&P 500 за один день (%) в 1 квартале» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.