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Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм

$1,946,871 Объем

Jan 22, 2026
Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,946,871
Дата окончания
Jan 22, 2026
Дата создания
Sep 26, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Хэмнет" at 100%, followed by "Грешники" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" is "Хэмнет" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Грешники" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм

$1,946,871 Объем

Polymarket

Хэмнет

$266,877 Объем

Да

Грешники

$89,757 Объем

Да

Одна битва за другой

$368,255 Объем

Да

Sentimental Value

$27,788 Объем

Да

Marty Supreme

$59,511 Объем

Да

Wicked: For Good

$99,260 Объем

Нет

A House of Dynamite

$21,218 Объем

Нет

Bugonia

$72,065 Объем

Да

It Was Just an Accident

$58,857 Объем

Нет

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$61,779 Объем

Нет

Джей Келли

$73,567 Объем

Нет

Нет другого выбора

$53,823 Объем

Нет

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$10,615 Объем

Нет

Франкенштейн

$68,735 Объем

Да

The Smashing Machine

$36,537 Объем

Нет

Завет Энн Ли

$40,745 Объем

Нет

Sorry Baby

$14,553 Объем

Нет

Rental Family

$38,826 Объем

Нет

Weapons

$42,585 Объем

Нет

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$10,088 Объем

Нет

Anemone

$43,129 Объем

Нет

F1

$73,401 Объем

Да

Жизнь Чака

$45,753 Объем

Нет

The Lost Bus

$20,143 Объем

Нет

Thunderbolts

$21,049 Объем

Нет

Train Dreams

$66,034 Объем

Да

Nouvelle Vague

$14,403 Объем

Нет

After the Hunt

$2,362 Объем

Нет

Die My Love

$49,097 Объем

Нет

Warfare

$7,023 Объем

Нет

Sound of Falling

$3,348 Объем

Нет

Highest 2 Lowest

$50,517 Объем

Нет

Novocaine

$4,078 Объем

Нет

Тайный агент

$28,163 Объем

Да

Голубая луна

$2,928 Объем

Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Хэмнет" at 100%, followed by "Грешники" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" is "Хэмнет" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Грешники" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Оскары 2026 года: номинации на лучший фильм" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.