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4,000-4,500 100.0%

<4,000 <1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,525 Объем

4,000-4,500 100.0%

<4,000 <1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

5,000-5,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,525 Объем

<4,000

$457 Объем

No

4,000-4,500

$955 Объем

Yes

4,500-5,000

$635 Объем

No

5,000-5,500

$340 Объем

No

5,500-6,000

$449 Объем

No

6,000-6,500

$230 Объем

No

6,500-7,000

$230 Объем

No

>7,000

$229 Объем

No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$3,525
Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$3,525
Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 11, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «4,000-4,500» с 100%, за ним следует «<4,000» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?» — «4,000-4,500» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<4,000» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.