FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNumber of US Flights Delayed April 11?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 11?
4,000-4,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
5,000-5,500 <1%
$3,525 Объем
$3,525 Объем
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
Yes
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
4,000-4,500 100.0%
<4,000 <1%
4,500-5,000 <1%
5,000-5,500 <1%
$3,525 Объем
$3,525 Объем
<4,000
No
4,000-4,500
Yes
4,500-5,000
No
5,000-5,500
No
5,500-6,000
No
6,000-6,500
No
6,500-7,000
No
>7,000
No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
FlightAware's preliminary count for April 11 US flight delays stands near 3,900 as of early April 12, but trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,000–5,000 due to historical patterns where totals accrue 10–20% overnight from late flights and revised arrival times at hubs like SFO (367 delays amid FAA ground delay programs averaging 44–160 minutes), ORD, and MIA. Persistent high winds in Northeast and Florida airports, plus thunderstorms in South Texas, mirror FAA's April 10 warnings, elevating delays above seasonal baselines amid high TSA volumes exceeding 2.5 million passengers daily. Separation could emerge from noon ET FlightAware finalization, with heavier SFO/DFW ripple effects pushing toward 5,000+ or calmer conditions capping below 4,500.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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