Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully priced in fewer than 2.6 million TSA passengers screened on March 17, with implied probabilities at 100% for the <2.6M bin, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,319,994 travelers—a figure 12% below recent Sunday averages and well under spring break peaks exceeding 2.9 million mid-week. This reflects seasonal Sunday dips in air travel demand, compounded by moderating consumer spending amid persistent inflation and high fuel costs. Supporting positioning are year-over-year comparisons showing only modest 5% growth in throughput, signaling economic caution. Realistic challenges include rare TSA data revisions or audit adjustments, though authoritative releases rarely shift materially post-publication.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<2.6M 100.0%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$6,377 Объем
$6,377 Объем
Mar 17, 2026
<2.6M
Yes
2.6M-2.8M
No
2.8M-3.0M
No
3.0M-3.2M
No
3.2M-3.4M
No
>3.4M
No
<2.6M 100.0%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$6,377 Объем
$6,377 Объем
Mar 17, 2026
<2.6M
$6,377 Объем
Yes
2.6M-2.8M
$0 Объем
No
2.8M-3.0M
$0 Объем
No
3.0M-3.2M
$0 Объем
No
3.2M-3.4M
$0 Объем
No
>3.4M
$0 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 17, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully priced in fewer than 2.6 million TSA passengers screened on March 17, with implied probabilities at 100% for the <2.6M bin, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,319,994 travelers—a figure 12% below recent Sunday averages and well under spring break peaks exceeding 2.9 million mid-week. This reflects seasonal Sunday dips in air travel demand, compounded by moderating consumer spending amid persistent inflation and high fuel costs. Supporting positioning are year-over-year comparisons showing only modest 5% growth in throughput, signaling economic caution. Realistic challenges include rare TSA data revisions or audit adjustments, though authoritative releases rarely shift materially post-publication.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 17, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 10, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$6,377Дата окончания
Mar 17, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 10, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 17, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully priced in fewer than 2.6 million TSA passengers screened on March 17, with implied probabilities at 100% for the <2.6M bin, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,319,994 travelers—a figure 12% below recent Sunday averages and well under spring break peaks exceeding 2.9 million mid-week. This reflects seasonal Sunday dips in air travel demand, compounded by moderating consumer spending amid persistent inflation and high fuel costs. Supporting positioning are year-over-year comparisons showing only modest 5% growth in throughput, signaling economic caution. Realistic challenges include rare TSA data revisions or audit adjustments, though authoritative releases rarely shift materially post-publication.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 17, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$6,377Дата окончания
Mar 17, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 10, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully priced in fewer than 2.6 million TSA passengers screened on March 17, with implied probabilities at 100% for the <2.6M bin, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,319,994 travelers—a figure 12% below recent Sunday averages and well under spring break peaks exceeding 2.9 million mid-week. This reflects seasonal Sunday dips in air travel demand, compounded by moderating consumer spending amid persistent inflation and high fuel costs. Supporting positioning are year-over-year comparisons showing only modest 5% growth in throughput, signaling economic caution. Realistic challenges include rare TSA data revisions or audit adjustments, though authoritative releases rarely shift materially post-publication.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы