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Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

Market icon

Number of TSA Passengers April 1?

<2.4M 100.0%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$12,193 Объем

<2.4M 100.0%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$12,193 Объем

<2.4M

$2,137 Объем

Yes

2.4M-2.6M

$1,318 Объем

No

2.6M-2.8M

$1,749 Объем

No

2.8M-3.0M

$2,811 Объем

No

3.0M-3.2M

$2,099 Объем

No

>3.2M

$2,079 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 1 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,360,739 passengers screened—well below the threshold and consistent with subdued spring break volumes. Recent TSA staffing shortages from a federal funding lapse in late March caused widespread sickouts (up to 50% at major airports like Houston), extended wait times exceeding four hours, and checkpoint consolidations, deterring some travel and keeping daily throughput between 2.1 million and 2.8 million through late March into early April. Retroactive pay resumption eased disruptions, but April 1's midweek figure remained low. Over 3.2 million now faces insurmountable barriers barring a rare data correction.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$12,193
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 2.4 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 1 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official TSA report confirming 2,360,739 passengers screened—well below the threshold and consistent with subdued spring break volumes. Recent TSA staffing shortages from a federal funding lapse in late March caused widespread sickouts (up to 50% at major airports like Houston), extended wait times exceeding four hours, and checkpoint consolidations, deterring some travel and keeping daily throughput between 2.1 million and 2.8 million through late March into early April. Retroactive pay resumption eased disruptions, but April 1's midweek figure remained low. Over 3.2 million now faces insurmountable barriers barring a rare data correction.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$12,193
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers April 1?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<2.4M» с 100%, за ним следует «2.4M-2.6M» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Number of TSA Passengers April 1?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.2K с момента запуска рынка Mar 27, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers April 1?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers April 1?» — «<2.4M» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2.4M-2.6M» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers April 1?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.