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Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

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Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

Владимир Зеленский 11.3%

Юлия Навальная 11%

Дональд Трамп 8%

Папа Лев XIV 4.4%

Polymarket

$12,150,833 Объем

Владимир Зеленский 11.3%

Юлия Навальная 11%

Дональд Трамп 8%

Папа Лев XIV 4.4%

Polymarket

$12,150,833 Объем

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Владимир Зеленский

$405,887 Объем

11%

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Юлия Навальная

$87,574 Объем

11%

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Дональд Трамп

$2,330,770 Объем

8%

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Папа Лев XIV

$511,396 Объем

4%

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Международный суд ООН

$534,167 Объем

4%

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Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

$383,488 Объем

3%

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UNRWA

$1,664,687 Объем

3%

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Грета Тунберг

$950,286 Объем

3%

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Нарендра Моди

$293,707 Объем

3%

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Чарли Кирк

$581,511 Объем

2%

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Ахмед аль-Шараа

$579,035 Объем

2%

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Антониу Гутеррес

$143,106 Объем

2%

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Илон Маск

$535,311 Объем

2%

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Мохаммед бин Салман

$576,798 Объем

2%

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Си Цзиньпин

$781,400 Объем

2%

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Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$418,343 Объем

2%

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Джулиан Ассанж

$342,631 Объем

2%

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Халед Машаль

$205,261 Объем

1%

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Владимир Путин

$501,311 Объем

1%

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Беньямин Нетаньяху

$324,195 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds a narrow frontrunner edge at 11.3% implied probability following his formal nomination days ago by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting Ukraine's defiance amid stalled Geneva peace talks and Russia's spring offensive. Yulia Navalnaya trails at 10.5%, her trader momentum sustained by launching an independent publishing house and announcing the Alexei Navalny Prize laureate this month, reinforcing her anti-Kremlin campaign narrative. Donald Trump lingers at 7.5% post his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, while Pope Leo XIV draws 4.4% on global diplomacy since his 2025 election. This fragmented field reflects Nobel Committee secrecy and geopolitical flux, with fresh endorsements or breakthroughs as pivotal differentiators before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$12,150,833
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds a narrow frontrunner edge at 11.3% implied probability following his formal nomination days ago by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting Ukraine's defiance amid stalled Geneva peace talks and Russia's spring offensive. Yulia Navalnaya trails at 10.5%, her trader momentum sustained by launching an independent publishing house and announcing the Alexei Navalny Prize laureate this month, reinforcing her anti-Kremlin campaign narrative. Donald Trump lingers at 7.5% post his January "Board of Peace" charter signing, while Pope Leo XIV draws 4.4% on global diplomacy since his 2025 election. This fragmented field reflects Nobel Committee secrecy and geopolitical flux, with fresh endorsements or breakthroughs as pivotal differentiators before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$12,150,833
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Владимир Зеленский» с 11%, за ним следует «Юлия Навальная» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 11¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.2 million с момента запуска рынка Oct 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — «Владимир Зеленский» с 11%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 11%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Юлия Навальная» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.