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Выборы·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

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Выборы·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 23%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Brian Schatz 5%

Polymarket

$29,171 Объем

John Thune 23%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Brian Schatz 5%

Polymarket

$29,171 Объем

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John Thune

$266 Объем

30%

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Chuck Schumer

$275 Объем

18%

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Lindsey Graham

$8,314 Объем

6%

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Brian Schatz

$347 Объем

5%

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Cory Booker

$405 Объем

5%

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John Barrasso

$297 Объем

5%

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Tom Cotton

$192 Объем

5%

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Mark Kelly

$629 Объем

4%

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Steve Daines

$18,011 Объем

4%

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Patty Murray

$87 Объем

4%

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Amy Klobuchar

$348 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «John Thune» с 30%, за ним следует «Chuck Schumer» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Senate Majority Leader?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $29.2K с момента запуска рынка Mar 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «John Thune» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Chuck Schumer» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.