Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Starmer - UK PM 38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 19%
Orbán - Hungary PM 16%
Lecornu - France PM 5.8%
$42,426 Объем
$42,426 Объем
Starmer - UK PM
38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
19%
Orbán - Hungary PM
16%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
None before 2027
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Trump - USA President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
6%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
Starmer - UK PM 38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 19%
Orbán - Hungary PM 16%
Lecornu - France PM 5.8%
$42,426 Объем
$42,426 Объем
Starmer - UK PM
38%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
19%
Orbán - Hungary PM
16%
Lecornu - France PM
6%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
3%
None before 2027
3%
Abbas - President of Palestine
2%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
2%
Trump - USA President
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Putin - Russia President
2%
Macron - France President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
2%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Milei - Argentina President
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
Albanese - Australia PM
1%
Newsom - California Governor
1%
Merz - German Chancellor
6%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
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