Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $5.41 EPS and $48.5 billion revenue, driven primarily by the bank's February 23 guidance forecasting mid-teens percentage growth in investment banking fees and strong markets revenue expansion. This optimism builds on JPM's consistent track record of exceeding estimates in recent quarters, including a Q4 2025 beat, amid supportive macro conditions like the Federal Reserve's steady fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% following its March meeting, bolstering net interest income stability. Key catalysts ahead include the April 14 earnings release and conference call, where updated guidance on loan growth and credit quality could sway sentiment further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПревзойдет ли JPMorgan Chase (JPM) квартальную прибыль?
Превзойдет ли JPMorgan Chase (JPM) квартальную прибыль?
Да
Да
If JPMorgan Chase releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If JPMorgan Chase releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Источник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) will beat Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $5.41 EPS and $48.5 billion revenue, driven primarily by the bank's February 23 guidance forecasting mid-teens percentage growth in investment banking fees and strong markets revenue expansion. This optimism builds on JPM's consistent track record of exceeding estimates in recent quarters, including a Q4 2025 beat, amid supportive macro conditions like the Federal Reserve's steady fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% following its March meeting, bolstering net interest income stability. Key catalysts ahead include the April 14 earnings release and conference call, where updated guidance on loan growth and credit quality could sway sentiment further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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