Polymarket traders price an 82.5% implied probability that Goldman Sachs (GS) will beat Q1 2026 EPS consensus of $15.93 per share on $16.72 billion revenue, driven by the firm's flawless streak of surpassing estimates over the past four quarters, including a 20% surprise in Q4 2025. Surging FICC and equities sales & trading revenues amid heightened market volatility from oil shocks and geopolitics, coupled with recovering investment banking fees on robust M&A activity, underpin this trader consensus backed by real capital. Upward EPS estimate revisions—from $14.96 three months ago—signal optimism, with resolution hinging on the April 13 earnings release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
Да
If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Goldman Sachs releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Источник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price an 82.5% implied probability that Goldman Sachs (GS) will beat Q1 2026 EPS consensus of $15.93 per share on $16.72 billion revenue, driven by the firm's flawless streak of surpassing estimates over the past four quarters, including a 20% surprise in Q4 2025. Surging FICC and equities sales & trading revenues amid heightened market volatility from oil shocks and geopolitics, coupled with recovering investment banking fees on robust M&A activity, underpin this trader consensus backed by real capital. Upward EPS estimate revisions—from $14.96 three months ago—signal optimism, with resolution hinging on the April 13 earnings release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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