Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 Объем

Jun 25, 2025

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,781,618
Дата окончания
Jun 20, 2025
Создано
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат предложен: Yes

Нет спора

Финальный результат: Yes

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.

Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 Объем

Saturday, June 14

$141,967 Объем

Yes

Sunday, June 15

$337,124 Объем

Yes

Monday, June 16

$393,495 Объем

Yes

Tuesday, June 17

$562,119 Объем

Yes

Wednesday, June 18

$499,640 Объем

Yes

Thursday, June 19

$607,994 Объем

Yes

Friday, June 20

$425,779 Объем

Yes

Saturday, June 21

$216,841 Объем

Yes

Sunday, June 22

$3,651,331 Объем

Yes

Monday, June 23

$266,010 Объем

Yes

Tuesday, June 24

$2,042,695 Объем

Yes

Wednesday, June 25

$486,483 Объем

No

Thursday, June 26

$266,337 Объем

No

Friday, June 27

$298,283 Объем

No

Saturday, June 28

$149,397 Объем

No

Sunday, June 29

$163,268 Объем

No

Monday, June 30

$272,854 Объем

No

О событии

Объем
$10,781,618
Дата окончания
Jun 20, 2025
Создано
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Остерегайтесь внешних ссылок.