A fragile ceasefire in Gaza, established under the US-led Comprehensive Plan since October 2025, faces ongoing violations, exemplified by an Israeli drone strike in central Gaza's az-Zawayda area on April 4 that set a vehicle ablaze. Local reports cite over 700 Palestinian deaths from such airstrikes, shelling, and gunfire since the truce began, including recent targeting of alleged Hamas squads in northern Gaza on April 3. Israel sustains limited operations against Hamas while escalating military actions in Lebanon against Hezbollah and direct strikes on Iran, straining resources. Diplomats via Trump's Board of Peace press for Hamas disarmament tied to full Israeli withdrawal guarantees, with a UN Security Council debate on the Palestinian question slated for April. Traders monitor rocket fire, negotiation breakdowns, or regional spillover for escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВоенные действия Израиля против Газы на...?
Военные действия Израиля против Газы на...?
$1,711,104 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
March 28
<1%
$1,711,104 Объем
March 28
$714,736 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile ceasefire in Gaza, established under the US-led Comprehensive Plan since October 2025, faces ongoing violations, exemplified by an Israeli drone strike in central Gaza's az-Zawayda area on April 4 that set a vehicle ablaze. Local reports cite over 700 Palestinian deaths from such airstrikes, shelling, and gunfire since the truce began, including recent targeting of alleged Hamas squads in northern Gaza on April 3. Israel sustains limited operations against Hamas while escalating military actions in Lebanon against Hezbollah and direct strikes on Iran, straining resources. Diplomats via Trump's Board of Peace press for Hamas disarmament tied to full Israeli withdrawal guarantees, with a UN Security Council debate on the Palestinian question slated for April. Traders monitor rocket fire, negotiation breakdowns, or regional spillover for escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,711,104Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: No
Оспаривается
Окончательное рассмотрение
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil between market creation and 11:59 PM on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile ceasefire in Gaza, established under the US-led Comprehensive Plan since October 2025, faces ongoing violations, exemplified by an Israeli drone strike in central Gaza's az-Zawayda area on April 4 that set a vehicle ablaze. Local reports cite over 700 Palestinian deaths from such airstrikes, shelling, and gunfire since the truce began, including recent targeting of alleged Hamas squads in northern Gaza on April 3. Israel sustains limited operations against Hamas while escalating military actions in Lebanon against Hezbollah and direct strikes on Iran, straining resources. Diplomats via Trump's Board of Peace press for Hamas disarmament tied to full Israeli withdrawal guarantees, with a UN Security Council debate on the Palestinian question slated for April. Traders monitor rocket fire, negotiation breakdowns, or regional spillover for escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$1,711,104Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 17, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: No
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: No
Оспаривается
Окончательное рассмотрение
A fragile ceasefire in Gaza, established under the US-led Comprehensive Plan since October 2025, faces ongoing violations, exemplified by an Israeli drone strike in central Gaza's az-Zawayda area on April 4 that set a vehicle ablaze. Local reports cite over 700 Palestinian deaths from such airstrikes, shelling, and gunfire since the truce began, including recent targeting of alleged Hamas squads in northern Gaza on April 3. Israel sustains limited operations against Hamas while escalating military actions in Lebanon against Hezbollah and direct strikes on Iran, straining resources. Diplomats via Trump's Board of Peace press for Hamas disarmament tied to full Israeli withdrawal guarantees, with a UN Security Council debate on the Palestinian question slated for April. Traders monitor rocket fire, negotiation breakdowns, or regional spillover for escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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