Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, plunging over 10% last week—the worst weekly drop since 1983—to near $4,300 before rebounding to around $4,450 per ounce amid position liquidations and a firmer U.S. dollar index. Key pressures stem from scaled-back Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following hawkish signals, elevated 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, and reduced safe-haven flows despite Middle East tensions like U.S.-Iran escalations. Central bank buying, including from India and China, offers underlying support, while trading volume spikes reflect trader hedging. With March 31 settlement imminent, final pricing hinges on dollar moves and thin end-month liquidity, ahead of April nonfarm payrolls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ конца марта?
Золото (GC) выше ___ конца марта?
$163,569 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
$7 000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6 000
<1%
$5,800
<1%
$5,600
<1%
$5,400
1%
$5 200
2%
$5,000
3%
$4,800
5%
$4,600
29%
$4 400
74%
$4 000
96%
$163,569 Объем
$7 000
$16,314 Объем
<1%
$6,500
$5,812 Объем
<1%
$6 000
$18,080 Объем
<1%
$5,800
$30,820 Объем
<1%
$5,600
$4,848 Объем
<1%
$5,400
$43,994 Объем
1%
$5 200
$4,403 Объем
2%
$5,000
$10,442 Объем
3%
$4,800
$11,835 Объем
5%
$4,600
$6,537 Объем
29%
$4 400
$2,148 Объем
74%
$4 000
$8,335 Объем
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, plunging over 10% last week—the worst weekly drop since 1983—to near $4,300 before rebounding to around $4,450 per ounce amid position liquidations and a firmer U.S. dollar index. Key pressures stem from scaled-back Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following hawkish signals, elevated 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, and reduced safe-haven flows despite Middle East tensions like U.S.-Iran escalations. Central bank buying, including from India and China, offers underlying support, while trading volume spikes reflect trader hedging. With March 31 settlement imminent, final pricing hinges on dollar moves and thin end-month liquidity, ahead of April nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Объем
$163,569Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, plunging over 10% last week—the worst weekly drop since 1983—to near $4,300 before rebounding to around $4,450 per ounce amid position liquidations and a firmer U.S. dollar index. Key pressures stem from scaled-back Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following hawkish signals, elevated 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, and reduced safe-haven flows despite Middle East tensions like U.S.-Iran escalations. Central bank buying, including from India and China, offers underlying support, while trading volume spikes reflect trader hedging. With March 31 settlement imminent, final pricing hinges on dollar moves and thin end-month liquidity, ahead of April nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Объем
$163,569Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in March 2026, plunging over 10% last week—the worst weekly drop since 1983—to near $4,300 before rebounding to around $4,450 per ounce amid position liquidations and a firmer U.S. dollar index. Key pressures stem from scaled-back Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following hawkish signals, elevated 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, and reduced safe-haven flows despite Middle East tensions like U.S.-Iran escalations. Central bank buying, including from India and China, offers underlying support, while trading volume spikes reflect trader hedging. With March 31 settlement imminent, final pricing hinges on dollar moves and thin end-month liquidity, ahead of April nonfarm payrolls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы