Following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4 via a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly—passed with cross-party support from the New Popular Front and National Rally—President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new premier amid a hung parliament lacking a majority. Constitutional rules bar further dissolution of the Assembly until July 2025, limiting snap election prospects, though political deadlock over the 2025 budget could prompt early instability or resignation pressures. Traders monitor Macron's consultations with party leaders for a survivable minority government candidate, such as former PM Élisabeth Borne or François Bayrou, alongside left-wing threats of repeat no-confidence motions and National Rally demands for polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,054,187 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
30 июня 2026 года
8%
$1,054,187 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$72,553 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4 via a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly—passed with cross-party support from the New Popular Front and National Rally—President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new premier amid a hung parliament lacking a majority. Constitutional rules bar further dissolution of the Assembly until July 2025, limiting snap election prospects, though political deadlock over the 2025 budget could prompt early instability or resignation pressures. Traders monitor Macron's consultations with party leaders for a survivable minority government candidate, such as former PM Élisabeth Borne or François Bayrou, alongside left-wing threats of repeat no-confidence motions and National Rally demands for polls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
Объем
$1,054,187Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4 via a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly—passed with cross-party support from the New Popular Front and National Rally—President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new premier amid a hung parliament lacking a majority. Constitutional rules bar further dissolution of the Assembly until July 2025, limiting snap election prospects, though political deadlock over the 2025 budget could prompt early instability or resignation pressures. Traders monitor Macron's consultations with party leaders for a survivable minority government candidate, such as former PM Élisabeth Borne or François Bayrou, alongside left-wing threats of repeat no-confidence motions and National Rally demands for polls.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1,054,187Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2025Открытие рынка
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Prime Minister Michel Barnier's government collapse on December 4 via a no-confidence vote in the National Assembly—passed with cross-party support from the New Popular Front and National Rally—President Emmanuel Macron must appoint a new premier amid a hung parliament lacking a majority. Constitutional rules bar further dissolution of the Assembly until July 2025, limiting snap election prospects, though political deadlock over the 2025 budget could prompt early instability or resignation pressures. Traders monitor Macron's consultations with party leaders for a survivable minority government candidate, such as former PM Élisabeth Borne or François Bayrou, alongside left-wing threats of repeat no-confidence motions and National Rally demands for polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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