Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden (implied ~75% probability), Italy (~65%), and Ukraine (~60%), driven by their strong recent finishes—Sweden's 2023 win, Italy's consistent podium threats, and Ukraine's resilient fanbase amid geopolitical drama. With no entries announced yet, markets reflect historical voting patterns prioritizing Nordic pop craftsmanship, Big 5 auto-qualification perks, and diaspora blocs, tempered by host nation edge to be set by May 2025's Basel final. Watch national selections ramping up fall 2025, as breakout acts like Croatia's 2024 near-miss could surge odds; unpredictability looms from secret jury votes and televote swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$66,021 Объем

Finland
89%

Israel
83%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
69%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
36%

Romania
36%

Moldova
35%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
17%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Poland
13%

Switzerland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
9%

Estonia
8%

Austria
5%
$66,021 Объем

Finland
89%

Israel
83%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
69%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
36%

Romania
36%

Moldova
35%

Latvia
31%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
17%

Armenia
15%

Serbia
15%

Lithuania
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Poland
13%

Switzerland
13%

Montenegro
12%

Azerbaijan
9%

San Marino
9%

Estonia
8%

Austria
5%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden (implied ~75% probability), Italy (~65%), and Ukraine (~60%), driven by their strong recent finishes—Sweden's 2023 win, Italy's consistent podium threats, and Ukraine's resilient fanbase amid geopolitical drama. With no entries announced yet, markets reflect historical voting patterns prioritizing Nordic pop craftsmanship, Big 5 auto-qualification perks, and diaspora blocs, tempered by host nation edge to be set by May 2025's Basel final. Watch national selections ramping up fall 2025, as breakout acts like Croatia's 2024 near-miss could surge odds; unpredictability looms from secret jury votes and televote swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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