Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final qualifiers hinges on historical qualification rates, favoring perennial frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, and Italy from typical pot allocations, with implied probabilities hovering around 70-90% for top seeds amid low early volume. The 2025 contest in Basel this May remains the pivotal catalyst, as its winner hosts 2026 and reshuffles semi-final pots based on voting blocs, potentially elevating underdogs from Eastern or Nordic regions. National selections kick off late 2025, injecting fresh acts and buzz, while geopolitical tensions and artist withdrawals—echoing past cycles—add volatility. Traders eye post-2025 pot reveals as the next odds-shifting event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЕвровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
Евровидение 2026: второй полуфинал
$30,033 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
95%

Австралия
89%

Болгария
83%

Мальта
75%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
70%

Румыния
63%

Норвегия
67%

Албания
60%

Люксембург
51%

Армения
42%

Латвия
50%

Швейцария
48%

Азербайджан
15%
$30,033 Объем

Дания
95%

Украина
95%

Австралия
89%

Болгария
83%

Мальта
75%

Кипр
78%

Чехия
70%

Румыния
63%

Норвегия
67%

Албания
60%

Люксембург
51%

Армения
42%

Латвия
50%

Швейцария
48%

Азербайджан
15%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final qualifiers hinges on historical qualification rates, favoring perennial frontrunners like Sweden, Ukraine, and Italy from typical pot allocations, with implied probabilities hovering around 70-90% for top seeds amid low early volume. The 2025 contest in Basel this May remains the pivotal catalyst, as its winner hosts 2026 and reshuffles semi-final pots based on voting blocs, potentially elevating underdogs from Eastern or Nordic regions. National selections kick off late 2025, injecting fresh acts and buzz, while geopolitical tensions and artist withdrawals—echoing past cycles—add volatility. Traders eye post-2025 pot reveals as the next odds-shifting event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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