Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official announcement or preorder campaign for such a release amid the group's ongoing military enlistment hiatus, which delays full comebacks until at least mid-2025. Without the typical K-pop frenzy of fan events, music show promotions, or Hanteo chart surges seen in past megahits like Map of the Soul: 7 (over 4 million first-week units), sentiment reflects realistic expectations of negligible sales, possibly from unofficial or fan-circulated tracks. An upset could stem from a surprise digital drop or viral solo/Jin subunit tie-in boosting streams to 3-4 million equivalents, though historical precedents for unpromoted BTS projects make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПродажи альбомов BTS «Arirang» за первую неделю?
Продажи альбомов BTS «Arirang» за первую неделю?
<3 млн 96.9%
6м+ 1.8%
3,5м-4м 1.6%
3-3,5 млн 1.3%
$324,719 Объем
$324,719 Объем
<3 млн
97%
3-3,5 млн
1%
3,5м-4м
2%
4 млн – 4,5 млн
<1%
4,5м-5м
<1%
5–5,5 млн
1%
5,5 млн – 6 млн
1%
6м+
2%
<3 млн 96.9%
6м+ 1.8%
3,5м-4м 1.6%
3-3,5 млн 1.3%
$324,719 Объем
$324,719 Объем
<3 млн
97%
3-3,5 млн
1%
3,5м-4м
2%
4 млн – 4,5 млн
<1%
4,5м-5м
<1%
5–5,5 млн
1%
5,5 млн – 6 млн
1%
6м+
2%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any official announcement or preorder campaign for such a release amid the group's ongoing military enlistment hiatus, which delays full comebacks until at least mid-2025. Without the typical K-pop frenzy of fan events, music show promotions, or Hanteo chart surges seen in past megahits like Map of the Soul: 7 (over 4 million first-week units), sentiment reflects realistic expectations of negligible sales, possibly from unofficial or fan-circulated tracks. An upset could stem from a surprise digital drop or viral solo/Jin subunit tie-in boosting streams to 3-4 million equivalents, though historical precedents for unpromoted BTS projects make this improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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