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Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?

Market icon

Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$11,166 Объем

Да

>99% chance
Polymarket

$11,166 Объем

The July Charter referendum is a 2026 constitutional referendum on amendments to the Constitution of Bangladesh, proposed for the general election currently set for February 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national referendum held pursuant to the “July National Charter (Constitutional Reform) Implementation Order, 2025” (or any successor order explicitly replacing it) is passed by voters in the Bangladesh general election currently set for February 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Election Commission of Bangladesh. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Объем
$11,166
Дата окончания
Feb 12, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
The July Charter referendum is a 2026 constitutional referendum on amendments to the Constitution of Bangladesh, proposed for the general election currently set for February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national referendum held pursuant to the “July National Charter (Constitutional Reform) Implementation Order, 2025” (or any successor order explicitly replacing it) is passed by voters in the Bangladesh general election currently set for February 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Election Commission of Bangladesh. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

The July Charter referendum is a 2026 constitutional referendum on amendments to the Constitution of Bangladesh, proposed for the general election currently set for February 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national referendum held pursuant to the “July National Charter (Constitutional Reform) Implementation Order, 2025” (or any successor order explicitly replacing it) is passed by voters in the Bangladesh general election currently set for February 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Election Commission of Bangladesh. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Объем
$11,166
Дата окончания
Feb 12, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
The July Charter referendum is a 2026 constitutional referendum on amendments to the Constitution of Bangladesh, proposed for the general election currently set for February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the national referendum held pursuant to the “July National Charter (Constitutional Reform) Implementation Order, 2025” (or any successor order explicitly replacing it) is passed by voters in the Bangladesh general election currently set for February 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Election Commission of Bangladesh. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Бангладеш: одобрен ли Хартия на референдуме в июле?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?" has generated $11.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?" is "Бангладеш: одобрен ли Хартия на референдуме в июле?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Референдум по июльской хартии Бангладеш проходит?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.