balthazar

Дата присоединения янв. 2025·36.4K просмотры

$330.5K

Стоимость позиций

$107.5K

Наибольший выигрыш

85,314

Торгуемые рынки

Общий PnL: +$1.1M
Общий объем: 75.6M

Прибыль/убыток

$4,716.12

За последний день

Рынок

Средн.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 доли

50¢

90.5¢

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No 50¢

51,000.0 доли

$46,155.00$20,655.00 (81%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.9¢

39,282.3 доли

84.9¢

76.4¢

$29,992.02-$3,361.94 (-10.08%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 84.9¢

39,282.3 доли

$29,992.02-$3,361.94 (-10.08%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 доли

77.8¢

86.8¢

$15,445.11$1,599.29 (11.55%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 77.8¢

17,804.2 доли

$15,445.11$1,599.29 (11.55%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 доли

81.5¢

78.5¢

$11,577.44-$438.54 (-3.65%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.5¢

14,748.3 доли

$11,577.44-$438.54 (-3.65%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 доли

69.5¢

77¢

$9,425.18$914.43 (10.74%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 69.5¢

12,240.5 доли

$9,425.18$914.43 (10.74%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

44,706.3 доли

11.1¢

20.5¢

$9,164.80$4,194.16 (84.38%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 11.1¢

44,706.3 доли

$9,164.80$4,194.16 (84.38%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 доли

63.8¢

91.5¢

$6,306.22$1,909.55 (43.43%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 63.8¢

6,892.0 доли

$6,306.22$1,909.55 (43.43%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 доли

33.7¢

69¢

$5,972.56$3,058.47 (104.95%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 33.7¢

8,655.9 доли

$5,972.56$3,058.47 (104.95%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 доли

61.7¢

86.5¢

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 61.7¢

6,598.3 доли

$5,707.56$1,635.75 (40.17%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 доли

50¢

9.5¢

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 50¢

51,000.0 доли

$4,845.00-$20,655.00 (-81%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 доли

78.2¢

92¢

$4,467.16$671.84 (17.7%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 78.2¢

4,855.6 доли

$4,467.16$671.84 (17.7%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.4¢

5,424.7 доли

75.4¢

76.5¢

$4,149.86$57.66 (1.41%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 75.4¢

5,424.7 доли

$4,149.86$57.66 (1.41%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 доли

91.8¢

96.6¢

$3,448.19$170.32 (5.2%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 91.8¢

3,571.4 доли

$3,448.19$170.32 (5.2%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 доли

26.4¢

23.5¢

$3,289.65-$409.51 (-11.07%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 26.4¢

13,998.5 доли

$3,289.65-$409.51 (-11.07%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 доли

62.7¢

86.5¢

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 62.7¢

3,713.7 доли

$3,212.37$881.97 (37.85%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 доли

64.5¢

97.3¢

$2,664.52$895.96 (50.66%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 64.5¢

2,739.9 доли

$2,664.52$895.96 (50.66%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 доли

95.3¢

98.4¢

$2,635.09$81.04 (3.17%)

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 95.3¢

2,679.3 доли

$2,635.09$81.04 (3.17%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 доли

11.6¢

18.5¢

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 11.6¢

13,555.4 доли

$2,507.75$940.79 (60.04%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 доли

20.1¢

12.5¢

$2,287.73-$1,382.58 (-37.67%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 20.1¢

18,301.8 доли

$2,287.73-$1,382.58 (-37.67%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 доли

90.8¢

79.5¢

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

2,497.4 доли

$1,985.46-$282.20 (-12.44%)