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ReconciliaçãO previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

85%

May 31

$40.7K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$3.6K Vol.

$172K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

38%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$10.8K Vol.

$602 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 3 horas

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

94%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$262 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

32%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$618 Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

3%

$271K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

11

Ends em 14 dias

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$572K Vol.

$73.7K today

$421K Liq.

43

Ends em 8 meses

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$92.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

Ends há 29 dias

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

980

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: regain vs True Synergy Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: regain vs True Synergy Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

100%

regain

$772 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above __?

51%

$225M

$0 Vol.

$66 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

40%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$172K Vol.

$81.1K Liq.

34

Ends em 5 dias

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

89%

Nothing

$85.4K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

47%

Starmer - UK PM

$352K Vol.

$265K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$360K today

$238K Liq.

473

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

42%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like ReconciliaçãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for ReconciliaçãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on ReconciliaçãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.