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OpenGradient previsões e probabilidades

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

94%

SpaceX

$7.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

5

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

88%

$49.1K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.4K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

72%

$800B

$1M Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 1 ano

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

89%

July 31

$21.9K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

14%

June 30

$363K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

19

Ends há 10 dias

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

70%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

56%

Sashi Esport

$37 Vol.

$941 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 17 horas

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

99%

$2.50

$10 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

1.5T+

$16.3K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

50%

$4.00-$5.00

$2.9K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

79%

1450+

$102K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

50%

Vitality Academy

$0 Vol.

$626 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

100%

Solus Victorem

$762 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 28 dias

Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

70%

T1

$4.1K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 14 horas

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

OldBoys

$65 Vol.

Ends há 24 dias

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

The Last Resort

$10 Vol.

$280 Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$279K Vol.

Ends há 26 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OpenGradient.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for OpenGradient that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to No IPO by December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OpenGradient predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.