Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability for any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled in Mexico—Mexico City’s Estadio Azteca, Guadalajara’s Estadio Akron, or Monterrey’s Estadio BBVA—being relocated abroad, reflecting FIFA's recent confirmations of fixtures including the June 11 opener at Azteca between Mexico and South Africa, following the stadium's March reopening after renovations. Mexico's deployment of 100,000 security personnel addresses prior cartel violence concerns raised in February-March, with FIFA rejecting unrelated requests like Iran's to shift U.S. games to Mexico and affirming the tri-nation host framework. While logistical hurdles and venue readiness underpin this confidence now months from kickoff, a sharp escalation in security threats could prompt FIFA to invoke safety clauses for relocation to U.S. or Canadian sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$120,900 Vol.
$120,900 Vol.
10 jun 2026
Sim
$120,900 Vol.
$120,900 Vol.
10 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability for any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled in Mexico—Mexico City’s Estadio Azteca, Guadalajara’s Estadio Akron, or Monterrey’s Estadio BBVA—being relocated abroad, reflecting FIFA's recent confirmations of fixtures including the June 11 opener at Azteca between Mexico and South Africa, following the stadium's March reopening after renovations. Mexico's deployment of 100,000 security personnel addresses prior cartel violence concerns raised in February-March, with FIFA rejecting unrelated requests like Iran's to shift U.S. games to Mexico and affirming the tri-nation host framework. While logistical hurdles and venue readiness underpin this confidence now months from kickoff, a sharp escalation in security threats could prompt FIFA to invoke safety clauses for relocation to U.S. or Canadian sites.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$120,900Data de Término
10 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability for any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled in Mexico—Mexico City’s Estadio Azteca, Guadalajara’s Estadio Akron, or Monterrey’s Estadio BBVA—being relocated abroad, reflecting FIFA's recent confirmations of fixtures including the June 11 opener at Azteca between Mexico and South Africa, following the stadium's March reopening after renovations. Mexico's deployment of 100,000 security personnel addresses prior cartel violence concerns raised in February-March, with FIFA rejecting unrelated requests like Iran's to shift U.S. games to Mexico and affirming the tri-nation host framework. While logistical hurdles and venue readiness underpin this confidence now months from kickoff, a sharp escalation in security threats could prompt FIFA to invoke safety clauses for relocation to U.S. or Canadian sites.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120,900Data de Término
10 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 97.3% implied probability for any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled in Mexico—Mexico City’s Estadio Azteca, Guadalajara’s Estadio Akron, or Monterrey’s Estadio BBVA—being relocated abroad, reflecting FIFA's recent confirmations of fixtures including the June 11 opener at Azteca between Mexico and South Africa, following the stadium's March reopening after renovations. Mexico's deployment of 100,000 security personnel addresses prior cartel violence concerns raised in February-March, with FIFA rejecting unrelated requests like Iran's to shift U.S. games to Mexico and affirming the tri-nation host framework. While logistical hurdles and venue readiness underpin this confidence now months from kickoff, a sharp escalation in security threats could prompt FIFA to invoke safety clauses for relocation to U.S. or Canadian sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions