Reigning UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski tops trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability to hold the title through year's end, bolstered by his February unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in Sydney, reaffirming his elite wrestling and cardio despite turning 37. Lerone Murphy's 30.1% share persists post-majority decision loss to Movsar Evloev last weekend at UFC London, reflecting faith in the previously unbeaten Brit's nine-fight UFC streak, striking prowess, and youth for a rebound path amid title contention. Evloev's 18.5% matches Jean Silva's after the Russian's gritty upset win—overcoming a point deduction during Ramadan—positioning him as top contender, while Silva's rapid rise via knockouts, including a UFC 324 leap, fuels his dark-horse status in a stacked division eyeing Volkanovski's next defense.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAlexander Volkanovski 53%
Jean Silva 37%
Lerone Murphy 30.1%
Movsar Evloev 10%
Alexander Volkanovski
42%
Jean Silva
37%
Lerone Murphy
30%
Movsar Evloev
18%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 53%
Jean Silva 37%
Lerone Murphy 30.1%
Movsar Evloev 10%
Alexander Volkanovski
42%
Jean Silva
37%
Lerone Murphy
30%
Movsar Evloev
18%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reigning UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski tops trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability to hold the title through year's end, bolstered by his February unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in Sydney, reaffirming his elite wrestling and cardio despite turning 37. Lerone Murphy's 30.1% share persists post-majority decision loss to Movsar Evloev last weekend at UFC London, reflecting faith in the previously unbeaten Brit's nine-fight UFC streak, striking prowess, and youth for a rebound path amid title contention. Evloev's 18.5% matches Jean Silva's after the Russian's gritty upset win—overcoming a point deduction during Ramadan—positioning him as top contender, while Silva's rapid rise via knockouts, including a UFC 324 leap, fuels his dark-horse status in a stacked division eyeing Volkanovski's next defense.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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