Trader consensus on the UFC Bantamweight title at 2026's end reflects the division's exceptional depth and volatility, with Umar Nurmagomedov leading at 28% implied probability following UFC's announcement of his title shot against champion Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 311 on January 18, 2025. Nurmagomedov's undefeated 18-0 record and elite grappling edge him ahead, but Dvalishvili's 13-fight win streak caps him at 23%, while top-ranked Cory Sandhagen and former champ Petr Yan hover nearby amid recent momentum shifts—Yan's loss to Deiveson Figueiredo and Sandhagen's contender status. Dark horse Aiemann Zahabi's five-fight surge, including a split over Pedro Munhoz, fuels his 25.7% share, underscoring how injuries, upsets, and long-term matchmaking keep probabilities tightly bunched across multiple paths to gold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMerab Dvalishvili 25%
Umar Nurmagomedov 19%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Deiveson Figueiredo 7.4%
Merab Dvalishvili
23%
Umar Nurmagomedov
28%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Deiveson Figueiredo
6%
Marlon Vera
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
26%
Song Yadong
1%
Mario Bautista
1%
David Martinez
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
23%
Petr Yan
31%
Merab Dvalishvili 25%
Umar Nurmagomedov 19%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Deiveson Figueiredo 7.4%
Merab Dvalishvili
23%
Umar Nurmagomedov
28%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Deiveson Figueiredo
6%
Marlon Vera
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
26%
Song Yadong
1%
Mario Bautista
1%
David Martinez
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
23%
Petr Yan
31%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the UFC Bantamweight title at 2026's end reflects the division's exceptional depth and volatility, with Umar Nurmagomedov leading at 28% implied probability following UFC's announcement of his title shot against champion Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 311 on January 18, 2025. Nurmagomedov's undefeated 18-0 record and elite grappling edge him ahead, but Dvalishvili's 13-fight win streak caps him at 23%, while top-ranked Cory Sandhagen and former champ Petr Yan hover nearby amid recent momentum shifts—Yan's loss to Deiveson Figueiredo and Sandhagen's contender status. Dark horse Aiemann Zahabi's five-fight surge, including a split over Pedro Munhoz, fuels his 25.7% share, underscoring how injuries, upsets, and long-term matchmaking keep probabilities tightly bunched across multiple paths to gold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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