Market icon
Política·Celebridades

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Celebridades

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$165,231 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$165,231 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$4,865 Vol.

20%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$3,390 Vol.

18%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$0 Vol.

17%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$0 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$0 Vol.

14%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$43,168 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$12,713 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,140 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$872 Vol.

12%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$4,576 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

John Thune

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,183 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$0 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$8,882 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$7,635 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$4,348 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$7,071 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$2,072 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$5,508 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

Market icon

MrBeast

$0 Vol.

3%

Market icon

LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory and inauguration in January 2025, constitutional term limits bar him from the 2028 presidential race, thrusting Vice President JD Vance into focus as the Republican heir apparent amid his high-profile role in the administration. Democrats, after Kamala Harris's defeat, navigate an open primary with governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro drawing early speculation through national tours and fundraising, though none have launched formal exploratory committees. No candidates have announced presidential bids before 2027—a timeline aligning with historical patterns of 12-18 months pre-primaries. Trader consensus hinges on 2026 midterm performances, key state races, and cabinet-level visibility, with potential shifts from scandals, endorsements, or policy successes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$165,231
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory and inauguration in January 2025, constitutional term limits bar him from the 2028 presidential race, thrusting Vice President JD Vance into focus as the Republican heir apparent amid his high-profile role in the administration. Democrats, after Kamala Harris's defeat, navigate an open primary with governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro drawing early speculation through national tours and fundraising, though none have launched formal exploratory committees. No candidates have announced presidential bids before 2027—a timeline aligning with historical patterns of 12-18 months pre-primaries. Trader consensus hinges on 2026 midterm performances, key state races, and cabinet-level visibility, with potential shifts from scandals, endorsements, or policy successes.

Following Donald Trump's 2024 election victory and inauguration in January 2025, constitutional term limits bar him from the 2028 presidential race, thrusting Vice President JD Vance into focus as the Republican heir apparent amid his high-profile role in the administration. Democrats, after Kamala Harris's defeat, navigate an open primary with governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro drawing early speculation through national tours and fundraising, though none have launched formal exploratory committees. No candidates have announced presidential bids before 2027—a timeline aligning with historical patterns of 12-18 months pre-primaries. Trader consensus hinges on 2026 midterm performances, key state races, and cabinet-level visibility, with potential shifts from scandals, endorsements, or policy successes.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, followed by "Josh Hawley" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" has generated $165.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Hawley" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.