Reports targeting Alexander Volkanovski versus Movsar Evloev at UFC 314 in Miami on July 19 have driven trader consensus to imply 78% probability for the undefeated #4 featherweight contender, bolstered by Evloev's dominant unanimous decision over Giga Chikadze in August and his positioning as the leading title challenger behind champion Ilia Topuria. Jean Silva's 19.5% share stems from his blistering four-fight knockout streak, capped by a 3:00 stoppage of Drew Dober at UFC Tampa last weekend, plus a direct post-fight callout of Volkanovski. Arnold Allen's 15.2% reflects his elite pedigree and rebound potential after a year out, while Lerone Murphy and others lag without comparable recent buzz or confirmed negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMovsar Evloev 78%
Jean Silva 19%
Lerone Murphy 3.5%
Arnold Allen <1%
Movsar Evloev
78%
Jean Silva
19%
Lerone Murphy
3%
Arnold Allen
10%
Aljamain Sterling
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Movsar Evloev 78%
Jean Silva 19%
Lerone Murphy 3.5%
Arnold Allen <1%
Movsar Evloev
78%
Jean Silva
19%
Lerone Murphy
3%
Arnold Allen
10%
Aljamain Sterling
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Alexander Volkanovski is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Volkanovski is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reports targeting Alexander Volkanovski versus Movsar Evloev at UFC 314 in Miami on July 19 have driven trader consensus to imply 78% probability for the undefeated #4 featherweight contender, bolstered by Evloev's dominant unanimous decision over Giga Chikadze in August and his positioning as the leading title challenger behind champion Ilia Topuria. Jean Silva's 19.5% share stems from his blistering four-fight knockout streak, capped by a 3:00 stoppage of Drew Dober at UFC Tampa last weekend, plus a direct post-fight callout of Volkanovski. Arnold Allen's 15.2% reflects his elite pedigree and rebound potential after a year out, while Lerone Murphy and others lag without comparable recent buzz or confirmed negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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