Market icon

Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?

Market icon

Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?

$61,915 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$61,915 Vol.

Polymarket

Illit

$1,197 Vol.

97%

Babymonster

$4,592 Vol.

95%

Le Sserafim

$187 Vol.

79%

Itzy

$175 Vol.

75%

Twice

$12,872 Vol.

85%

NewJeans

$31 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors new song releases in 2026 for major KPop girl groups like ILLIT (99% implied probability), BABYMONSTER (98%), LE SSERAFIM (98%), ITZY (93%), and TWICE (95%), backed by official announcements of April-May comebacks—ILLIT's "MAMIHLAPINATAPAI" mini album on April 30, LE SSERAFIM and TWS in April via HYBE's packed spring schedule, ITZY's May return from JYP, BABYMONSTER's "CHOOM" EP on May 4 from YG, and TWICE's steady activity trajectory. NewJeans trails at 82% Yes amid unresolved Hybe-Ador legal disputes stalling group momentum post-2025 hiatus. With $62K volume and resolution by year-end, watch for second-half confirmations from SM and others, though Q2 schedules solidify frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$61,915
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors new song releases in 2026 for major KPop girl groups like ILLIT (99% implied probability), BABYMONSTER (98%), LE SSERAFIM (98%), ITZY (93%), and TWICE (95%), backed by official announcements of April-May comebacks—ILLIT's "MAMIHLAPINATAPAI" mini album on April 30, LE SSERAFIM and TWS in April via HYBE's packed spring schedule, ITZY's May return from JYP, BABYMONSTER's "CHOOM" EP on May 4 from YG, and TWICE's steady activity trajectory. NewJeans trails at 82% Yes amid unresolved Hybe-Ador legal disputes stalling group momentum post-2025 hiatus. With $62K volume and resolution by year-end, watch for second-half confirmations from SM and others, though Q2 schedules solidify frontrunners.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$61,915
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "I-dle" at 100%, followed by "IVE" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?" has generated $61.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?" is "I-dle" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "IVE" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais grupos de KPop lançarão músicas em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.