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Finanças·Indícios

Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

Market icon
Finanças·Indícios

Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$964,127 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$964,127 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

$259,778 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Affirm Holdings (AFRM)

$151,706 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)

$105,556 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pure Storage (PSTG)

$64,157 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)

$342,704 Vol.

<1%

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index. An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).The S&P 500 Index Committee, under S&P Dow Jones Indices, controls quarterly rebalances with Q1 2026 changes typically announced around March 20 for effectiveness shortly after, prioritizing U.S.-listed firms exceeding $20.5 billion market cap, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four-quarter sum, and liquidity via at least 0.15% of public float traded daily over six months. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scrutiny of candidates like high-growth tech or AI plays surging past thresholds amid 2025 bull market dynamics, with recent non-changes in Q4 2025 underscoring committee discretion over mechanical rules. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings and cap rankings will sharpen eligibility, as historical precedents show earnings beats driving 10-20% share rallies post-inclusion.

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.

An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Volume
$964,127
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index. An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).The S&P 500 Index Committee, under S&P Dow Jones Indices, controls quarterly rebalances with Q1 2026 changes typically announced around March 20 for effectiveness shortly after, prioritizing U.S.-listed firms exceeding $20.5 billion market cap, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four-quarter sum, and liquidity via at least 0.15% of public float traded daily over six months. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scrutiny of candidates like high-growth tech or AI plays surging past thresholds amid 2025 bull market dynamics, with recent non-changes in Q4 2025 underscoring committee discretion over mechanical rules. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings and cap rankings will sharpen eligibility, as historical precedents show earnings beats driving 10-20% share rallies post-inclusion.

The S&P 500 Index Committee, under S&P Dow Jones Indices, controls quarterly rebalances with Q1 2026 changes typically announced around March 20 for effectiveness shortly after, prioritizing U.S.-listed firms exceeding $20.5 billion market cap, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four-quarter sum, and liquidity via at least 0.15% of public float traded daily over six months. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scrutiny of candidates like high-growth tech or AI plays surging past thresholds amid 2025 bull market dynamics, with recent non-changes in Q4 2025 underscoring committee discretion over mechanical rules. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings and cap rankings will sharpen eligibility, as historical precedents show earnings beats driving 10-20% share rallies post-inclusion.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vertiv Holdings (VRT)" at 100%, followed by "Ciena (CIEN)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" has generated $964.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" is "Vertiv Holdings (VRT)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ciena (CIEN)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais empresas adicionaram ao S&P 500 no primeiro trimestre de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.