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Economia·Esconder Do Novo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon
Economia·Esconder Do Novo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 27.7%

590 - 595k 2.7%

570 - 575k 1.5%

<570k 1.2%

Polymarket

$15,648 Vol.

575 - 580k 27.7%

590 - 595k 2.7%

570 - 575k 1.5%

<570k 1.2%

Polymarket

$15,648 Vol.

<570k

$1,350 Vol.

1%

570 - 575k

$1,017 Vol.

1%

575 - 580k

$1,921 Vol.

46%

580 - 585k

$1,644 Vol.

36%

585 - 590k

$3,959 Vol.

1%

590 - 595k

$2,447 Vol.

3%

595 - 600k

$1,890 Vol.

<1%

>600k

$1,420 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested race between 575-580k (45.7%) and 580-585k (36.4%) for New York City’s median home value on April 1, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (implied via median price per square foot times 1,000 sqft), with recent daily readings holding steady around $580k amid resilient local demand. February 2026 data from sources like Zillow showed NYC typical home values at $812k, up 4% year-over-year, while Redfin reported median sales at $880k, up 2.3%, underscoring borough-level splits but overall stability despite national inventory growth of 7.9%. Key swing factors include late-March transaction volume and any high-end sales skew; resolution imminent today highlights the market’s skin-in-the-game precision on subdued price momentum under elevated mortgage rates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Volume
$15,648
Data de Término
1 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a closely contested race between 575-580k (45.7%) and 580-585k (36.4%) for New York City’s median home value on April 1, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (implied via median price per square foot times 1,000 sqft), with recent daily readings holding steady around $580k amid resilient local demand. February 2026 data from sources like Zillow showed NYC typical home values at $812k, up 4% year-over-year, while Redfin reported median sales at $880k, up 2.3%, underscoring borough-level splits but overall stability despite national inventory growth of 7.9%. Key swing factors include late-March transaction volume and any high-end sales skew; resolution imminent today highlights the market’s skin-in-the-game precision on subdued price momentum under elevated mortgage rates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Volume
$15,648
Data de Término
1 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "575 - 580k" at 46%, followed by "580 - 585k" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" is "575 - 580k" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "580 - 585k" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.