Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $8-9 million opening weekend for "Undertone" at 57.5% implied probability, with $9-10 million trailing closely at 42.8%, reflecting steady pre-sales tracking and measured hype for this mid-budget thriller amid stiff competition from major releases. Recent developments, including solid Fandango advance ticket metrics and a teaser trailer surpassing 10 million views, have bolstered these ranges by signaling reliable genre fan turnout without breakout viral momentum. Early buzz scores in the 60s on Rotten Tomatoes temper >$10 million hopes, while historical tracking accuracy for similar indies—rarely deviating over 20%—keeps underperformance odds negligible, though Thursday night previews could sway final tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "Undertone"
Bilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "Undertone"
8-9 milhões 57.7%
9-10 milhões 41.4%
<7M <1%
7-8 milhões <1%
$299,246 Vol.
$299,246 Vol.
<7M
<1%
7-8 milhões
<1%
8-9 milhões
58%
9-10 milhões
41%
>10 milhões
<1%
8-9 milhões 57.7%
9-10 milhões 41.4%
<7M <1%
7-8 milhões <1%
$299,246 Vol.
$299,246 Vol.
<7M
<1%
7-8 milhões
<1%
8-9 milhões
58%
9-10 milhões
41%
>10 milhões
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an $8-9 million opening weekend for "Undertone" at 57.5% implied probability, with $9-10 million trailing closely at 42.8%, reflecting steady pre-sales tracking and measured hype for this mid-budget thriller amid stiff competition from major releases. Recent developments, including solid Fandango advance ticket metrics and a teaser trailer surpassing 10 million views, have bolstered these ranges by signaling reliable genre fan turnout without breakout viral momentum. Early buzz scores in the 60s on Rotten Tomatoes temper >$10 million hopes, while historical tracking accuracy for similar indies—rarely deviating over 20%—keeps underperformance odds negligible, though Thursday night previews could sway final tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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