State Sen. Mayes Middleton leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff on May 26, propelled by his self-funding of nearly $14 million that secured first place in the March 3 primary despite U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's initial frontrunner status and name recognition from Congress. Recent momentum includes Aaron Reitz's March 26 endorsement—after finishing fourth—as a stronger Trump ally over Roy, plus Middleton's 87% CPAC straw poll victory among conservatives. Roy trails at 14% amid critiques of his voting record, with early voting May 18–22 and low-turnout dynamics favoring the better-funded, grassroots-backed contender.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
14%
Mayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
14%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Mayes Middleton leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff on May 26, propelled by his self-funding of nearly $14 million that secured first place in the March 3 primary despite U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's initial frontrunner status and name recognition from Congress. Recent momentum includes Aaron Reitz's March 26 endorsement—after finishing fourth—as a stronger Trump ally over Roy, plus Middleton's 87% CPAC straw poll victory among conservatives. Roy trails at 14% amid critiques of his voting record, with early voting May 18–22 and low-turnout dynamics favoring the better-funded, grassroots-backed contender.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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