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Finanças·SPX

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?

Market icon
Finanças·SPX

O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,340 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $9.300

$0 Vol.

6%

↑ $8.600

$0 Vol.

9%

↑ $8.200

$0 Vol.

13%

↑ $7.800

$328 Vol.

25%

↑ $7.600

$0 Vol.

37%

↑ $7.400

$0 Vol.

40%

↓ $6.400

$1,490 Vol.

97%

↓ $6.200

$1,308 Vol.

79%

↓ $5.800

$1,282 Vol.

76%

↓ $5.200

$2,932 Vol.

45%

↓ $4.500

$0 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to record highs above 6,025, driven by post-election "Trump trade" optimism anticipating tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus favoring financials, energy, and industrials, with year-to-date gains surpassing 26%. Megacap tech stocks continue dominating amid AI investment fervor, though climbing 10-year Treasury yields around 4.45% signal inflation concerns and tighter financial conditions. The Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to a 4.50%-4.75% fed funds range bolsters soft-landing expectations, with trader consensus implying 60-70 basis points of further easing by year-end. Upcoming November CPI and PPI data, December 18 FOMC meeting, and holiday retail sales will be pivotal in assessing if the index pushes toward 6,100 analyst targets or faces profit-taking pullbacks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$7,340
Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to record highs above 6,025, driven by post-election "Trump trade" optimism anticipating tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus favoring financials, energy, and industrials, with year-to-date gains surpassing 26%. Megacap tech stocks continue dominating amid AI investment fervor, though climbing 10-year Treasury yields around 4.45% signal inflation concerns and tighter financial conditions. The Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to a 4.50%-4.75% fed funds range bolsters soft-landing expectations, with trader consensus implying 60-70 basis points of further easing by year-end. Upcoming November CPI and PPI data, December 18 FOMC meeting, and holiday retail sales will be pivotal in assessing if the index pushes toward 6,100 analyst targets or faces profit-taking pullbacks.

The S&P 500 has rallied to record highs above 6,025, driven by post-election "Trump trade" optimism anticipating tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus favoring financials, energy, and industrials, with year-to-date gains surpassing 26%. Megacap tech stocks continue dominating amid AI investment fervor, though climbing 10-year Treasury yields around 4.45% signal inflation concerns and tighter financial conditions. The Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to a 4.50%-4.75% fed funds range bolsters soft-landing expectations, with trader consensus implying 60-70 basis points of further easing by year-end. Upcoming November CPI and PPI data, December 18 FOMC meeting, and holiday retail sales will be pivotal in assessing if the index pushes toward 6,100 analyst targets or faces profit-taking pullbacks.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $6.600" at 100%, followed by "↓ $6.400" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?" is "↓ $6.600" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $6.400" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.