Polymarket traders price a razor-thin race for silver's June COMEX settlement, with sub-$50 odds at 17% edging $50-$60 at 16.2%, reflecting uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cut timing amid sticky inflation. Spot silver hovers near $31.50/oz, while June 2025 futures imply modest upside to $32.80, buoyed by gold's record rally spilling into sister metal demand but tempered by China's industrial slowdown and strong U.S. dollar resilience. Key differentiators include May CPI data on June 12 and the FOMC meeting June 11-12, where dovish dot-plot shifts could propel $60+ bins via weakened USD; recession signals favor sub-$50 containment, echoing 2022's downside precedent. Trader consensus embeds 40%+ chance below $70, prioritizing macro caution over bullish supply squeezes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
Qual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
Abaixo de $50 17%
$50-$60 16.0%
$60-$70 14.6%
$70-$80 12.3%
$347,600 Vol.
$347,600 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
17%
$50-$60
16%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
10%
$100-$115
10%
>$115
12%
Abaixo de $50 17%
$50-$60 16.0%
$60-$70 14.6%
$70-$80 12.3%
$347,600 Vol.
$347,600 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
17%
$50-$60
16%
$60-$70
15%
$70-$80
12%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
10%
$100-$115
10%
>$115
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a razor-thin race for silver's June COMEX settlement, with sub-$50 odds at 17% edging $50-$60 at 16.2%, reflecting uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate cut timing amid sticky inflation. Spot silver hovers near $31.50/oz, while June 2025 futures imply modest upside to $32.80, buoyed by gold's record rally spilling into sister metal demand but tempered by China's industrial slowdown and strong U.S. dollar resilience. Key differentiators include May CPI data on June 12 and the FOMC meeting June 11-12, where dovish dot-plot shifts could propel $60+ bins via weakened USD; recession signals favor sub-$50 containment, echoing 2022's downside precedent. Trader consensus embeds 40%+ chance below $70, prioritizing macro caution over bullish supply squeezes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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