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Eleições·Conselho Municipal

Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão

Market icon
Eleições·Conselho Municipal

Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão

GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA) 100.0%

Rotterdam Habitável (LR) <1%

50PLUS <1%

Volt <1%

Polymarket

$663 Vol.

GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA) 100.0%

Rotterdam Habitável (LR) <1%

50PLUS <1%

Volt <1%

Polymarket

$663 Vol.

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Rotterdam Habitável (LR)

$0 Vol.

Não

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50PLUS

$0 Vol.

Não

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Volt

$0 Vol.

Não

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Partido para os Animais (PvdD)

$663 Vol.

Não

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BIJ1

$0 Vol.

Não

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Apelo Democrata Cristão (CDA)

$0 Vol.

Não

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Partido Socialista (SP)

$0 Vol.

Não

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Democratas 66 (D66)

$0 Vol.

Não

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Denk (Denk)

$0 Vol.

Não

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GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA)

$0 Vol.

Sim

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Fórum para a Democracia (FvD)

$0 Vol.

Não

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Partido Popular pela Liberdade e Democracia (VVD)

$0 Vol.

Não

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).GroenLinks-Labour Party (GL-PvdA) commands near-certain trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win Rotterdam's municipal election, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads over Livable Rotterdam (LR) and dominant seat projections in recent surveys from agencies like Verian and Ipsos I&O. Key factors include GL-PvdA's strong urban voter base on housing, sustainability, and social services amid Rotterdam's demographic shifts, bolstered by incumbent coalition momentum and LR's stagnant support since 2022. Historical precedents show front-runners over 25 points ahead rarely lose, reflecting trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges include a surprise LR turnout surge among working-class voters or a late GL-PvdA scandal, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of election day.

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$663
Data de Término
18 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).GroenLinks-Labour Party (GL-PvdA) commands near-certain trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win Rotterdam's municipal election, driven by consistent double-digit polling leads over Livable Rotterdam (LR) and dominant seat projections in recent surveys from agencies like Verian and Ipsos I&O. Key factors include GL-PvdA's strong urban voter base on housing, sustainability, and social services amid Rotterdam's demographic shifts, bolstered by incumbent coalition momentum and LR's stagnant support since 2022. Historical precedents show front-runners over 25 points ahead rarely lose, reflecting trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds. Realistic challenges include a surprise LR turnout surge among working-class voters or a late GL-PvdA scandal, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of election day.

Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Volume
$663
Data de Término
18 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections to elect the Rotterdam Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Rotterdam Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Rotterdam) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA)" at 100%, followed by "Rotterdam Habitável (LR)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão" is "GroenLinks–Partido Trabalhista (GL–PvdA)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rotterdam Habitável (LR)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições municipais de Roterdão" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.