Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4 following the February 8 general election, confirming Pheu Thai Party's (PT) total of 74 seats—16 from the party-list and 58 constituency wins—down sharply from 141 in 2023 amid Bhumjaithai's landslide of 192 seats. This outcome reflects voter shifts toward conservative parties, disappointing pre-election polls favoring progressives, and drives trader consensus to 100% on the 70–79 range as final tallies hold despite minor recounts and ballot complaints. Coalition negotiations, including PT joining Bhumjaithai-led talks by mid-February, further solidify results ahead of the new parliament convening by April 9. Only extraordinary Constitutional Court rulings nullifying constituencies could alter PT's count, though petitions remain pending without traction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# de cadeiras conquistadas pelo PT nas Eleições Legislativas da Tailândia em 2026?
# de cadeiras conquistadas pelo PT nas Eleições Legislativas da Tailândia em 2026?
110+ <1%
$307,392 Vol.
$307,392 Vol.
8 fev 2026
110+
<1%
110+ <1%
$307,392 Vol.
$307,392 Vol.
8 fev 2026
110+
$136,905 Vol.
<1%
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4 following the February 8 general election, confirming Pheu Thai Party's (PT) total of 74 seats—16 from the party-list and 58 constituency wins—down sharply from 141 in 2023 amid Bhumjaithai's landslide of 192 seats. This outcome reflects voter shifts toward conservative parties, disappointing pre-election polls favoring progressives, and drives trader consensus to 100% on the 70–79 range as final tallies hold despite minor recounts and ballot complaints. Coalition negotiations, including PT joining Bhumjaithai-led talks by mid-February, further solidify results ahead of the new parliament convening by April 9. Only extraordinary Constitutional Court rulings nullifying constituencies could alter PT's count, though petitions remain pending without traction.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$307,392Data de Término
8 fev 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Revisão final
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4 following the February 8 general election, confirming Pheu Thai Party's (PT) total of 74 seats—16 from the party-list and 58 constituency wins—down sharply from 141 in 2023 amid Bhumjaithai's landslide of 192 seats. This outcome reflects voter shifts toward conservative parties, disappointing pre-election polls favoring progressives, and drives trader consensus to 100% on the 70–79 range as final tallies hold despite minor recounts and ballot complaints. Coalition negotiations, including PT joining Bhumjaithai-led talks by mid-February, further solidify results ahead of the new parliament convening by April 9. Only extraordinary Constitutional Court rulings nullifying constituencies could alter PT's count, though petitions remain pending without traction.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Volume
$307,392Data de Término
8 fev 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Não
Contestado
Revisão final
Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4 following the February 8 general election, confirming Pheu Thai Party's (PT) total of 74 seats—16 from the party-list and 58 constituency wins—down sharply from 141 in 2023 amid Bhumjaithai's landslide of 192 seats. This outcome reflects voter shifts toward conservative parties, disappointing pre-election polls favoring progressives, and drives trader consensus to 100% on the 70–79 range as final tallies hold despite minor recounts and ballot complaints. Coalition negotiations, including PT joining Bhumjaithai-led talks by mid-February, further solidify results ahead of the new parliament convening by April 9. Only extraordinary Constitutional Court rulings nullifying constituencies could alter PT's count, though petitions remain pending without traction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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