Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $373.46 on April 2, stabilizing after a 23% year-to-date decline amid investor concerns over surging AI infrastructure capex—tens of billions annually for Azure data centers—and decelerating cloud growth following the January Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat that still disappointed on Azure margins. Polymarket's trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 34.5% for $370-$380, 30.5% for $360-$370, and 27.5% for $380-$390, reflects balanced positioning ahead of next week's market open, pricing modest volatility from macroeconomic data like nonfarm payrolls and persistent tech sector re-rating. Differentiating MSFT are its Azure market leadership (versus AWS, Google Cloud) and Copilot AI monetization trajectory, bolstered by a $10 billion Japan investment, though OpenAI ties introduce risks; analysts' $589 average price target signals long-term optimism. Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$370-$380 34%
$360-$370 31%
$380-$390 26%
$350-$360 17%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<US$330
2%
$330-$340
6%
$340-$350
9%
$350-$360
17%
$360-$370
31%
$370-$380
34%
$380-$390
26%
$390-$400
14%
$400-$410
11%
$410-$420
11%
>US$420
1%
$370-$380 34%
$360-$370 31%
$380-$390 26%
$350-$360 17%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<US$330
$67 Vol.
2%
$330-$340
$47 Vol.
6%
$340-$350
$5 Vol.
9%
$350-$360
$5 Vol.
17%
$360-$370
$0 Vol.
31%
$370-$380
$0 Vol.
34%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
26%
$390-$400
$5 Vol.
14%
$400-$410
$5 Vol.
11%
$410-$420
$5 Vol.
11%
>US$420
$130 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $373.46 on April 2, stabilizing after a 23% year-to-date decline amid investor concerns over surging AI infrastructure capex—tens of billions annually for Azure data centers—and decelerating cloud growth following the January Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat that still disappointed on Azure margins. Polymarket's trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 34.5% for $370-$380, 30.5% for $360-$370, and 27.5% for $380-$390, reflects balanced positioning ahead of next week's market open, pricing modest volatility from macroeconomic data like nonfarm payrolls and persistent tech sector re-rating. Differentiating MSFT are its Azure market leadership (versus AWS, Google Cloud) and Copilot AI monetization trajectory, bolstered by a $10 billion Japan investment, though OpenAI ties introduce risks; analysts' $589 average price target signals long-term optimism. Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$269Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $373.46 on April 2, stabilizing after a 23% year-to-date decline amid investor concerns over surging AI infrastructure capex—tens of billions annually for Azure data centers—and decelerating cloud growth following the January Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat that still disappointed on Azure margins. Polymarket's trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 34.5% for $370-$380, 30.5% for $360-$370, and 27.5% for $380-$390, reflects balanced positioning ahead of next week's market open, pricing modest volatility from macroeconomic data like nonfarm payrolls and persistent tech sector re-rating. Differentiating MSFT are its Azure market leadership (versus AWS, Google Cloud) and Copilot AI monetization trajectory, bolstered by a $10 billion Japan investment, though OpenAI ties introduce risks; analysts' $589 average price target signals long-term optimism. Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$269Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed at $373.46 on April 2, stabilizing after a 23% year-to-date decline amid investor concerns over surging AI infrastructure capex—tens of billions annually for Azure data centers—and decelerating cloud growth following the January Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings beat that still disappointed on Azure margins. Polymarket's trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 34.5% for $370-$380, 30.5% for $360-$370, and 27.5% for $380-$390, reflects balanced positioning ahead of next week's market open, pricing modest volatility from macroeconomic data like nonfarm payrolls and persistent tech sector re-rating. Differentiating MSFT are its Azure market leadership (versus AWS, Google Cloud) and Copilot AI monetization trajectory, bolstered by a $10 billion Japan investment, though OpenAI ties introduce risks; analysts' $589 average price target signals long-term optimism. Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the key catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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