Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 68% implied probability that Microsoft (MSFT) stock closes above $420 on March 25, fueled by the company's blockbuster Q3 earnings last month, where Azure cloud revenue surged 31% year-over-year amid robust AI demand. MSFT's last close on March 24 stood at $420.72, with pre-market trading hovering near $422, supported by sustained institutional buying and positive analyst upgrades targeting $450+. Key risks include broader market volatility from upcoming FOMC minutes on March 26 and potential profit-taking after a 15% YTD rally, though real capital backing yes shares underscores bullish sentiment on enterprise AI capex trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoUS$360
97%
$370
69%
$380
21%
$390
2%
$400
4%
$743 Vol.
US$360
97%
$370
69%
$380
21%
$390
2%
$400
4%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 68% implied probability that Microsoft (MSFT) stock closes above $420 on March 25, fueled by the company's blockbuster Q3 earnings last month, where Azure cloud revenue surged 31% year-over-year amid robust AI demand. MSFT's last close on March 24 stood at $420.72, with pre-market trading hovering near $422, supported by sustained institutional buying and positive analyst upgrades targeting $450+. Key risks include broader market volatility from upcoming FOMC minutes on March 26 and potential profit-taking after a 15% YTD rally, though real capital backing yes shares underscores bullish sentiment on enterprise AI capex trends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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