Trader consensus prices Lionel Messi as the clear 2026 MLS Golden Boot favorite at 37.5% implied probability, buoyed by his proven scoring prowess with Inter Miami—including a recent free-kick stunner in a comeback win over New York City FC and four goals through five matchdays—outweighing early-season volatility despite trailing the leaders. Nashville SC's Sam Surridge surges to 7.1% after a blistering seven goals in four regular-season games, capped by a hat-trick versus Orlando City and earning MLS Player of the Month honors for February/March. FC Dallas striker Petar Musa follows at 5.2% with six goals, including his second MLS hat-trick, fueling his rise amid FC Dallas' strong start, while LA Galaxy's Dejan Joveljić and others linger as dark horses in a wide-open race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSam Surridge 30.0%
Lionel Messi 16%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Sam Surridge
30%
Lionel Messi
16%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Germán Berterame
2%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Evander
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
Petar Musa
40%
Sam Surridge 30.0%
Lionel Messi 16%
Dejan Joveljić 4.2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.0%
Sam Surridge
30%
Lionel Messi
16%
Dejan Joveljić
4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
4%
Tadeo Allende
3%
Germán Berterame
2%
Brian White
2%
Hugo Cuypers
1%
Denis Bouanga
1%
Alonso Martínez
1%
Prince-Osei Owusu
1%
Anders Dreyer
1%
Tai Baribo
1%
Hany Mukhtar
1%
Danny Musovski
1%
Diego Rossi
<1%
Philip Zinckernagel
<1%
Djordje Mihailovic
<1%
Milan Iloski
<1%
Albert Rusnák
<1%
Idan Toklomati
<1%
Marco Pašalić
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Evander
<1%
Kévin Denkey
<1%
Louis Munteanu
<1%
Martín Ojeda
<1%
Petar Musa
40%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Lionel Messi as the clear 2026 MLS Golden Boot favorite at 37.5% implied probability, buoyed by his proven scoring prowess with Inter Miami—including a recent free-kick stunner in a comeback win over New York City FC and four goals through five matchdays—outweighing early-season volatility despite trailing the leaders. Nashville SC's Sam Surridge surges to 7.1% after a blistering seven goals in four regular-season games, capped by a hat-trick versus Orlando City and earning MLS Player of the Month honors for February/March. FC Dallas striker Petar Musa follows at 5.2% with six goals, including his second MLS hat-trick, fueling his rise amid FC Dallas' strong start, while LA Galaxy's Dejan Joveljić and others linger as dark horses in a wide-open race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions