Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, driven by her sustained world No. 1 dominance and 23-1 record this season, capped by a hard-fought three-set final victory over Elena Rybakina at the recent BNP Paribas Open. Rybakina, now No. 2 despite early-year retirements from nausea and leg issues, trails at 15.5% thanks to her massive serve suiting grass—where she claimed the 2022 title—but recent head-to-head losses temper enthusiasm. Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects her No. 4 ranking and early clay-court promise, though her Wimbledon best remains a quarterfinal; Coco Gauff at 5.5% gains from No. 3 status and improving all-court game amid a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast grass surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.9%
$4,596,083 Vol.
$4,596,083 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Madison Keys
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.9%
$4,596,083 Vol.
$4,596,083 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Madison Keys
3%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Barbora Krejčíková
2%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon, driven by her sustained world No. 1 dominance and 23-1 record this season, capped by a hard-fought three-set final victory over Elena Rybakina at the recent BNP Paribas Open. Rybakina, now No. 2 despite early-year retirements from nausea and leg issues, trails at 15.5% thanks to her massive serve suiting grass—where she claimed the 2022 title—but recent head-to-head losses temper enthusiasm. Iga Świątek's 16.3% reflects her No. 4 ranking and early clay-court promise, though her Wimbledon best remains a quarterfinal; Coco Gauff at 5.5% gains from No. 3 status and improving all-court game amid a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets on the fast grass surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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