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Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Market icon
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Gunnar Henderson 27%

Yordan Alvarez 26%

Bobby Witt Jr. 18%

Cal Raleigh 12%

Polymarket
NEW

Gunnar Henderson 27%

Yordan Alvarez 26%

Bobby Witt Jr. 18%

Cal Raleigh 12%

Polymarket
NEW

Gunnar Henderson

$0 Vol.

27%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

26%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$0 Vol.

18%

Cal Raleigh

$3,181 Vol.

12%

Nick Kurtz

$0 Vol.

11%

Julio Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

10%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

9%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$0 Vol.

7%

José Ramírez

$0 Vol.

7%

Aaron Judge

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus gives Aaron Judge a narrow edge at 19.8% implied probability to repeat as AL Hank Aaron Award winner, but Bobby Witt Jr.'s 18.0% reflects the razor-thin margin in a stacked offensive field projected by Steamer and ZiPS systems placing both atop AL hitters in WAR, home runs, and RBIs. Judge's 2025 title, spring training power surge with two homers in his debut, and consistent Yankees lineup protection fuel his lead, while Witt's near-MVP 2025 pace and Royals' rising contention keep him glued. Gunnar Henderson's World Baseball Classic homer and youth edge, Yordan Alvarez's sustained slugging, Cal Raleigh's catcher power records, and Athletics prospect Nick Kurtz's defensive gains post-rookie breakout add volatility, ensuring a tight race through a full 162-game grind with injury and regression risks.

Trader consensus gives Aaron Judge a narrow edge at 19.8% implied probability to repeat as AL Hank Aaron Award winner, but Bobby Witt Jr.'s 18.0% reflects the razor-thin margin in a stacked offensive field projected by Steamer and ZiPS systems placing both atop AL hitters in WAR, home runs, and RBIs. Judge's 2025 title, spring training power surge with two homers in his debut, and consistent Yankees lineup protection fuel his lead, while Witt's near-MVP 2025 pace and Royals' rising contention keep him glued. Gunnar Henderson's World Baseball Classic homer and youth edge, Yordan Alvarez's sustained slugging, Cal Raleigh's catcher power records, and Athletics prospect Nick Kurtz's defensive gains post-rookie breakout add volatility, ensuring a tight race through a full 162-game grind with injury and regression risks.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus gives Aaron Judge a narrow edge at 19.8% implied probability to repeat as AL Hank Aaron Award winner, but Bobby Witt Jr.'s 18.0% reflects the razor-thin margin in a stacked offensive field projected by Steamer and ZiPS systems placing both atop AL hitters in WAR, home runs, and RBIs. Judge's 2025 title, spring training power surge with two homers in his debut, and consistent Yankees lineup protection fuel his lead, while Witt's near-MVP 2025 pace and Royals' rising contention keep him glued. Gunnar Henderson's World Baseball Classic homer and youth edge, Yordan Alvarez's sustained slugging, Cal Raleigh's catcher power records, and Athletics prospect Nick Kurtz's defensive gains post-rookie breakout add volatility, ensuring a tight race through a full 162-game grind with injury and regression risks.

Trader consensus gives Aaron Judge a narrow edge at 19.8% implied probability to repeat as AL Hank Aaron Award winner, but Bobby Witt Jr.'s 18.0% reflects the razor-thin margin in a stacked offensive field projected by Steamer and ZiPS systems placing both atop AL hitters in WAR, home runs, and RBIs. Judge's 2025 title, spring training power surge with two homers in his debut, and consistent Yankees lineup protection fuel his lead, while Witt's near-MVP 2025 pace and Royals' rising contention keep him glued. Gunnar Henderson's World Baseball Classic homer and youth edge, Yordan Alvarez's sustained slugging, Cal Raleigh's catcher power records, and Athletics prospect Nick Kurtz's defensive gains post-rookie breakout add volatility, ensuring a tight race through a full 162-game grind with injury and regression risks.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 20%, followed by "Bobby Witt Jr." at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is "Aaron Judge" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bobby Witt Jr." at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.