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Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Market icon
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Gunnar Henderson 80%

Yordan Alvarez 26%

Cal Raleigh 19%

Bobby Witt Jr. 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Gunnar Henderson 80%

Yordan Alvarez 26%

Cal Raleigh 19%

Bobby Witt Jr. 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Gunnar Henderson

$0 Vol.

80%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

26%

Cal Raleigh

$0 Vol.

19%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$0 Vol.

19%

Nick Kurtz

$0 Vol.

11%

Julio Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

10%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

9%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$0 Vol.

7%

José Ramírez

$0 Vol.

7%

Aaron Judge

$0 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Gunnar Henderson as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 40% implied probability, driven by his prime-age trajectory following a breakout 2024 season with 37 home runs, 111 RBI, and a second-place AL MVP finish behind Aaron Judge. Henderson's long-term Orioles extension underscores sustained production expectations from the 25-year-old shortstop blending power, speed, and plate discipline. Aaron Judge (20%) and Cal Raleigh (20%) trail closely, with Judge's record 58 homers and 144 RBI tempered by age-34 decline risks, while Raleigh's catcher-leading 34 homers signal breakout durability. Emerging stars Bobby Witt Jr. (19%) and top prospect Nick Kurtz (11%) gain traction from Witt's .332 average and 109 RBI, plus Kurtz's college power pedigree as Oakland's No. 4 draft pick, amid a quiet MLB offseason with no major AL trades or injuries altering projections.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
Nov 13, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Gunnar Henderson as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 40% implied probability, driven by his prime-age trajectory following a breakout 2024 season with 37 home runs, 111 RBI, and a second-place AL MVP finish behind Aaron Judge. Henderson's long-term Orioles extension underscores sustained production expectations from the 25-year-old shortstop blending power, speed, and plate discipline. Aaron Judge (20%) and Cal Raleigh (20%) trail closely, with Judge's record 58 homers and 144 RBI tempered by age-34 decline risks, while Raleigh's catcher-leading 34 homers signal breakout durability. Emerging stars Bobby Witt Jr. (19%) and top prospect Nick Kurtz (11%) gain traction from Witt's .332 average and 109 RBI, plus Kurtz's college power pedigree as Oakland's No. 4 draft pick, amid a quiet MLB offseason with no major AL trades or injuries altering projections.

Trader consensus positions Gunnar Henderson as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 40% implied probability, driven by his prime-age trajectory following a breakout 2024 season with 37 home runs, 111 RBI, and a second-place AL MVP finish behind Aaron Judge. Henderson's long-term Orioles extension underscores sustained production expectations from the 25-year-old shortstop blending power, speed, and plate discipline. Aaron Judge (20%) and Cal Raleigh (20%) trail closely, with Judge's record 58 homers and 144 RBI tempered by age-34 decline risks, while Raleigh's catcher-leading 34 homers signal breakout durability. Emerging stars Bobby Witt Jr. (19%) and top prospect Nick Kurtz (11%) gain traction from Witt's .332 average and 109 RBI, plus Kurtz's college power pedigree as Oakland's No. 4 draft pick, amid a quiet MLB offseason with no major AL trades or injuries altering projections.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gunnar Henderson" at 40%, followed by "Cal Raleigh" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is "Gunnar Henderson" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cal Raleigh" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.