Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a commanding trader consensus lead at 57.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his substantial self-funded war chest—reporting $6.4 million cash on hand as of early February—and incumbency advantage in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district, offsetting criticisms of weak constituent services. State Rep. Donavan McKinney, at 38.5%, has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including Working Families Party and Justice Democrats in recent weeks, bolstered by his April 1 radio interview outlining policy priorities on economic equity and environmental justice. Minor candidates like Nazmul Hassan trail with under 3% each amid a crowded field of six Democrats ahead of the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoShri Thanedar 57%
Donavan McKinney 39%
Nazmul Hassan 2.9%
Anthony Carbonaro 2.5%
$22,045 Vol.
$22,045 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
57%
Donavan McKinney
39%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
Shelby Campbell
2%
Shri Thanedar 57%
Donavan McKinney 39%
Nazmul Hassan 2.9%
Anthony Carbonaro 2.5%
$22,045 Vol.
$22,045 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
57%
Donavan McKinney
39%
Nazmul Hassan
3%
Anthony Carbonaro
3%
Shelby Campbell
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a commanding trader consensus lead at 57.5% implied probability in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his substantial self-funded war chest—reporting $6.4 million cash on hand as of early February—and incumbency advantage in the solidly Democratic Detroit-area district, offsetting criticisms of weak constituent services. State Rep. Donavan McKinney, at 38.5%, has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including Working Families Party and Justice Democrats in recent weeks, bolstered by his April 1 radio interview outlining policy priorities on economic equity and environmental justice. Minor candidates like Nazmul Hassan trail with under 3% each amid a crowded field of six Democrats ahead of the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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