MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$316,749 Vol.
$316,749 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$316,749 Vol.
$316,749 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
MetService observations from the Kelburn Automatic Weather Station confirm Wellington's highest temperature reached 19°C earlier today, March 29, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent overcast skies, current readings around 17-18°C, falling barometric pressure, and an approaching frontal system delivering evening showers align with ensemble forecast models, preventing further warming. This positioning reflects robust observational data and model agreement, consistent with March climatology where daily highs average near 19°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day cloud break enabling brief solar heating above 20°C, though monitoring until midnight will finalize resolution via official records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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