Elevated U.S. Treasury yields—with the 10-year note at 4.44% on March 27, the highest since July 2025—and trader consensus pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026 are capping gold (GC) upside, as higher real rates pressure non-yielding assets. Spot prices hovered near $4,422 per ounce amid weekly volatility down 1.37%, before a 2.6% rally in March 2026 futures to $4,492 on technical rebound from the 50-week moving average and lingering geopolitical risks. Central bank buying provides tailwind, but dollar strength via DXY dynamics adds friction. Watch April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals and June CPI data ahead of end-June resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$2,473,856 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ US$ 10.000
2%
↑ US$8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
4%
↑ $7.000
4%
↑ US$6.500
7%
↑ $6.200
10%
↑ $6.000
13%
↑ $5.700
21%
↑ $5.500
30%
↓ $4.200
69%
↓ $3.800
22%
↓ $3.400
10%
$2,473,856 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
$110,118 Vol.
2%
↑ US$8.500
$217,450 Vol.
3%
↑ $9.000
$92,722 Vol.
3%
↑ $8.000
$227,380 Vol.
4%
↑ $7.000
$227,882 Vol.
4%
↑ US$6.500
$187,115 Vol.
7%
↑ $6.200
$68,257 Vol.
10%
↑ $6.000
$201,676 Vol.
13%
↑ $5.700
$47,547 Vol.
21%
↑ $5.500
$776,936 Vol.
30%
↓ $4.200
$185,768 Vol.
69%
↓ $3.800
$43,805 Vol.
22%
↓ $3.400
$34,305 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Elevated U.S. Treasury yields—with the 10-year note at 4.44% on March 27, the highest since July 2025—and trader consensus pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026 are capping gold (GC) upside, as higher real rates pressure non-yielding assets. Spot prices hovered near $4,422 per ounce amid weekly volatility down 1.37%, before a 2.6% rally in March 2026 futures to $4,492 on technical rebound from the 50-week moving average and lingering geopolitical risks. Central bank buying provides tailwind, but dollar strength via DXY dynamics adds friction. Watch April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals and June CPI data ahead of end-June resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,473,856Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Elevated U.S. Treasury yields—with the 10-year note at 4.44% on March 27, the highest since July 2025—and trader consensus pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026 are capping gold (GC) upside, as higher real rates pressure non-yielding assets. Spot prices hovered near $4,422 per ounce amid weekly volatility down 1.37%, before a 2.6% rally in March 2026 futures to $4,492 on technical rebound from the 50-week moving average and lingering geopolitical risks. Central bank buying provides tailwind, but dollar strength via DXY dynamics adds friction. Watch April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals and June CPI data ahead of end-June resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,473,856Data de Término
Jun 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Elevated U.S. Treasury yields—with the 10-year note at 4.44% on March 27, the highest since July 2025—and trader consensus pricing zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026 are capping gold (GC) upside, as higher real rates pressure non-yielding assets. Spot prices hovered near $4,422 per ounce amid weekly volatility down 1.37%, before a 2.6% rally in March 2026 futures to $4,492 on technical rebound from the 50-week moving average and lingering geopolitical risks. Central bank buying provides tailwind, but dollar strength via DXY dynamics adds friction. Watch April 28-29 FOMC for policy signals and June CPI data ahead of end-June resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions