Mercedes' commanding qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, has driven Polymarket head-to-head probabilities heavily toward Mercedes drivers and midfield rivals like Charles Leclerc and Lando Norris outperforming Max Verstappen, who struggled to a P11 grid slot after a Q2 exit. This reflects Red Bull's ongoing pace deficit seen in practices and the early 2026 season standings where Antonelli leads with 72 points. Suzuka's tight, flowing layout limits overtaking, amplifying starting position importance alongside tire strategy on mediums and hards, potential DNFs from high-speed corners, and clean air advantages for the front-runners ahead of Sunday's race start.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$23,897 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
Colapinto vs Gasly
Gasly
Albon vs Jr.
Jr.
Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg
Hulkenberg
Perez vs Bottas
Perez
Leclerc vs Hamilton
Leclerc
Ocon vs Bearman
Ocon
Norris vs Piastri
Piastri
Russell vs Antonelli
Antonelli
Verstappen vs Hadjar
Verstappen
Lindblad vs Lawson
Lawson
Leclerc vs Norris
Leclerc
Leclerc vs Verstappen
Leclerc
Leclerc vs Piastri
Piastri
Leclerc vs Russell
Leclerc
Norris vs Verstappen
Norris
Norris vs Hamilton
Norris
Norris vs Russell
Russell
Verstappen vs Hamilton
Hamilton
Verstappen vs Piastri
Piastri
Verstappen vs Russell
Russell
Hamilton vs Piastri
Piastri
Hamilton vs Russell
Russell
Piastri vs Russell
Piastri
$23,897 Vol.
Colapinto vs Gasly
$1,469 Vol.
Gasly
Albon vs Jr.
$672 Vol.
Jr.
Bortoleto vs Hulkenberg
$225 Vol.
Hulkenberg
Perez vs Bottas
$995 Vol.
Perez
Leclerc vs Hamilton
$1,658 Vol.
Leclerc
Ocon vs Bearman
$1,663 Vol.
Ocon
Norris vs Piastri
$1,098 Vol.
Piastri
Russell vs Antonelli
$3,120 Vol.
Antonelli
Verstappen vs Hadjar
$1,608 Vol.
Verstappen
Lindblad vs Lawson
$1,051 Vol.
Lawson
Leclerc vs Norris
$751 Vol.
Leclerc
Leclerc vs Verstappen
$969 Vol.
Leclerc
Leclerc vs Piastri
$969 Vol.
Piastri
Leclerc vs Russell
$1,058 Vol.
Leclerc
Norris vs Verstappen
$836 Vol.
Norris
Norris vs Hamilton
$1,248 Vol.
Norris
Norris vs Russell
$218 Vol.
Russell
Verstappen vs Hamilton
$261 Vol.
Hamilton
Verstappen vs Piastri
$881 Vol.
Piastri
Verstappen vs Russell
$867 Vol.
Russell
Hamilton vs Piastri
$1,497 Vol.
Piastri
Hamilton vs Russell
$449 Vol.
Russell
Piastri vs Russell
$336 Vol.
Piastri
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Colapinto finishes ahead of Gasly, this market will resolve to "Colapinto".
If Gasly finishes ahead of Colapinto, this market will resolve to "Gasly".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Albon finishes ahead of Jr., this market will resolve to "Albon".
If Jr. finishes ahead of Albon, this market will resolve to "Jr.".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Bortoleto finishes ahead of Hulkenberg, this market will resolve to "Bortoleto".
If Hulkenberg finishes ahead of Bortoleto, this market will resolve to "Hulkenberg".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Perez finishes ahead of Bottas, this market will resolve to "Perez".
If Bottas finishes ahead of Perez, this market will resolve to "Bottas".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Ocon finishes ahead of Bearman, this market will resolve to "Ocon".
If Bearman finishes ahead of Ocon, this market will resolve to "Bearman".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hadjar, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hadjar".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Lindblad finishes ahead of Lawson, this market will resolve to "Lindblad".
If Lawson finishes ahead of Lindblad, this market will resolve to "Lawson".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Norris finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Norris".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Russell finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Russell finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Russell finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
If Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Piastri finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
If Russell finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.Mercedes' commanding qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, has driven Polymarket head-to-head probabilities heavily toward Mercedes drivers and midfield rivals like Charles Leclerc and Lando Norris outperforming Max Verstappen, who struggled to a P11 grid slot after a Q2 exit. This reflects Red Bull's ongoing pace deficit seen in practices and the early 2026 season standings where Antonelli leads with 72 points. Suzuka's tight, flowing layout limits overtaking, amplifying starting position importance alongside tire strategy on mediums and hards, potential DNFs from high-speed corners, and clean air advantages for the front-runners ahead of Sunday's race start.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Volume
$23,897Data de Término
Apr 5, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Antonelli
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Antonelli
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Colapinto finishes ahead of Gasly, this market will resolve to "Colapinto".
If Gasly finishes ahead of Colapinto, this market will resolve to "Gasly".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Albon finishes ahead of Jr., this market will resolve to "Albon".
If Jr. finishes ahead of Albon, this market will resolve to "Jr.".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Bortoleto finishes ahead of Hulkenberg, this market will resolve to "Bortoleto".
If Hulkenberg finishes ahead of Bortoleto, this market will resolve to "Hulkenberg".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Perez finishes ahead of Bottas, this market will resolve to "Perez".
If Bottas finishes ahead of Perez, this market will resolve to "Bottas".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Ocon finishes ahead of Bearman, this market will resolve to "Ocon".
If Bearman finishes ahead of Ocon, this market will resolve to "Bearman".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hadjar, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Hadjar finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hadjar".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Lindblad finishes ahead of Lawson, this market will resolve to "Lindblad".
If Lawson finishes ahead of Lindblad, this market will resolve to "Lawson".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Norris finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Norris".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Leclerc finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Leclerc".
If Russell finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Norris finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Norris".
If Russell finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Verstappen finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Verstappen".
If Russell finishes ahead of Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
If Piastri finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Hamilton finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Hamilton".
If Russell finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Piastri finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Piastri".
If Russell finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Russell".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.Mercedes' commanding qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, has driven Polymarket head-to-head probabilities heavily toward Mercedes drivers and midfield rivals like Charles Leclerc and Lando Norris outperforming Max Verstappen, who struggled to a P11 grid slot after a Q2 exit. This reflects Red Bull's ongoing pace deficit seen in practices and the early 2026 season standings where Antonelli leads with 72 points. Suzuka's tight, flowing layout limits overtaking, amplifying starting position importance alongside tire strategy on mediums and hards, potential DNFs from high-speed corners, and clean air advantages for the front-runners ahead of Sunday's race start.
This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If Russell finishes ahead of Antonelli, this market will resolve to "Russell".
If Antonelli finishes ahead of Russell, this market will resolve to "Antonelli".
In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50.
If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.”
This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$23,897Data de Término
Apr 5, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Antonelli
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Antonelli
Mercedes' commanding qualifying lockout at Suzuka, with Kimi Antonelli on pole ahead of George Russell, has driven Polymarket head-to-head probabilities heavily toward Mercedes drivers and midfield rivals like Charles Leclerc and Lando Norris outperforming Max Verstappen, who struggled to a P11 grid slot after a Q2 exit. This reflects Red Bull's ongoing pace deficit seen in practices and the early 2026 season standings where Antonelli leads with 72 points. Suzuka's tight, flowing layout limits overtaking, amplifying starting position importance alongside tire strategy on mediums and hards, potential DNFs from high-speed corners, and clean air advantages for the front-runners ahead of Sunday's race start.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions