Mercedes teammates Andrea Kimi Antonelli and George Russell dominate trader consensus for Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap at Suzuka, with Antonelli's 32.5% and Russell's 27.5% implied probabilities reflecting their blistering single-lap pace across practice sessions—Russell topped FP1 by just 0.026s over Antonelli, who led FP3 by 0.254s before securing pole in qualifying with a 1:29.048. Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark keeps McLaren competitive at 8.9%, while Isack Hadjar's 12.4% stems from strong sector times hinting at late-race push potential. The bunched top outcomes underscore Mercedes' qualifying edge on Suzuka's high-speed layout, where clean air and tire management will decide the outright fastest lap amid Red Bull's qualifying struggles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAndrea Kimi Antonelli 40%
George Russell 28%
Lewis Hamilton 12%
Lando Norris 9%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33%
George Russell
28%
Lewis Hamilton
15%
Lando Norris
9%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Max Verstappen
4%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
12%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 40%
George Russell 28%
Lewis Hamilton 12%
Lando Norris 9%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
33%
George Russell
28%
Lewis Hamilton
15%
Lando Norris
9%
Oscar Piastri
9%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Max Verstappen
4%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Alexander Albon
2%
Sergio Perez
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
2%
Valtteri Bottas
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
12%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes teammates Andrea Kimi Antonelli and George Russell dominate trader consensus for Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap at Suzuka, with Antonelli's 32.5% and Russell's 27.5% implied probabilities reflecting their blistering single-lap pace across practice sessions—Russell topped FP1 by just 0.026s over Antonelli, who led FP3 by 0.254s before securing pole in qualifying with a 1:29.048. Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark keeps McLaren competitive at 8.9%, while Isack Hadjar's 12.4% stems from strong sector times hinting at late-race push potential. The bunched top outcomes underscore Mercedes' qualifying edge on Suzuka's high-speed layout, where clean air and tire management will decide the outright fastest lap amid Red Bull's qualifying struggles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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