Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Name: Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Start: 2025-12-06T00:56:07.401Z
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026 — Discussão

Romiche22 · 2025-12-06T00:56:07.401Z

Discussão sobre Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 36.1%

França 12.0%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Austrália 6.5%

$43,633,157 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Finlândia

$1,771,050 Vol.

36%

França

$1,187,657 Vol.

12%

Dinamarca

$814,949 Vol.

12%

Austrália

$1,071,138 Vol.

Grécia

$1,207,919 Vol.

Israel

$1,112,588 Vol.

Suécia

$802,864 Vol.

Ucrânia

$1,005,615 Vol.

Itália

$1,375,284 Vol.

Malta

$893,906 Vol.

Romênia

$769,421 Vol.

Chéquia

$724,826 Vol.

Chipre

$1,027,914 Vol.

Bulgária

$1,020,991 Vol.

Alemanha

$789,736 Vol.

Reino Unido

$650,766 Vol.

Croácia

$888,024 Vol.

Bélgica

$1,164,560 Vol.

Luxemburgo

$838,844 Vol.

Noruega

$1,154,696 Vol.

Sérvia

$702,553 Vol.

Suíça

$2,122,104 Vol.

Albânia

$1,533,948 Vol.

<1%

Letônia

$1,390,937 Vol.

<1%

Moldávia

$837,480 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,716,751 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijão

$2,054,743 Vol.

<1%

Lituânia

$1,176,375 Vol.

<1%

Polônia

$1,445,917 Vol.

<1%

Áustria

$1,476,007 Vol.

<1%

Estônia

$1,835,792 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$1,774,727 Vol.

<1%

Armênia

$1,618,099 Vol.

<1%

Geórgia

$1,575,984 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$2,099,887 Vol.

<1%

Finlândia 36.1%

França 12.0%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Austrália 6.5%

$43,633,157 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Finlândia

$1,771,050 Vol.

36%

França

$1,187,657 Vol.

12%

Dinamarca

$814,949 Vol.

12%

Austrália

$1,071,138 Vol.

Grécia

$1,207,919 Vol.

Israel

$1,112,588 Vol.

Suécia

$802,864 Vol.

Ucrânia

$1,005,615 Vol.

Itália

$1,375,284 Vol.

Malta

$893,906 Vol.

Romênia

$769,421 Vol.

Chéquia

$724,826 Vol.

Chipre

$1,027,914 Vol.

Bulgária

$1,020,991 Vol.

Alemanha

$789,736 Vol.

Reino Unido

$650,766 Vol.

Croácia

$888,024 Vol.

Bélgica

$1,164,560 Vol.

Luxemburgo

$838,844 Vol.

Noruega

$1,154,696 Vol.

Sérvia

$702,553 Vol.

Suíça

$2,122,104 Vol.

Albânia

$1,533,948 Vol.

<1%

Letônia

$1,390,937 Vol.

<1%

Moldávia

$837,480 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$1,716,751 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijão

$2,054,743 Vol.

<1%

Lituânia

$1,176,375 Vol.

<1%

Polônia

$1,445,917 Vol.

<1%

Áustria

$1,476,007 Vol.

<1%

Estônia

$1,835,792 Vol.

<1%

Portugal

$1,774,727 Vol.

<1%

Armênia

$1,618,099 Vol.

<1%

Geórgia

$1,575,984 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro

$2,099,887 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Volume

$43,633,157

Data de Término

May 16, 2026

Mercado Aberto

Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Finland leads as the clear frontrunner in Polymarket's Eurovision Song Contest 2026 winner market with a 36.1% implied probability, driven by traders' confidence in the country's recent momentum—including runner-up Käärijä in 2023 and a vibrant 10th-place Windows95man entry in 2024—plus anticipation for another powerhouse from Finland's UMK national selection process, known for producing viral hits. France (12%) and Denmark (11.9%) follow closely, reflecting their strong pop pedigrees, past victories like Denmark's 2013 Emmelie de Forest triumph, and consistent top-15 finishes amid Nordic dominance. Australia and Greece tie at 6.5% on diaspora fanbases and theatrical entries. With no 2026 acts announced and Eurovision 2025 looming in Switzerland this May, early odds hinge on historical patterns and national final buzz, but momentum could shift rapidly with first reveals later this year.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 27, 2026, 12:48 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 36%, followed by "França" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $43.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $43.6 million traded on “Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 36¢ for "Finlândia" in the "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 36% chance that "Finlândia" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 36¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 64¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" market has an active community of 217 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (217)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026"?

What are the current odds for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026"?

How will "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" be resolved?

Can I follow "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026"?

What does a price of 36¢ for "Finlândia" mean?

When does the "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" market close?

What are traders saying about "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026"?

What is Polymarket?